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Newells Old Boys vs Velez Sarsfield Prediction - 11 September 2026

Liga Profesional ArgentinaArgentinaFull time
Newells Old Boys
1-1
Velez Sarsfield

Our pick:Over 1.5 goals

79%Odds 1.53Won

Correct score1-1Alternative1-2

Bookmaker odds

Home2.69price falling, opened at 3.00
Draw2.98price rising, opened at 2.94
Away2.89price rising, opened at 2.64
More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.52
Under 1.52.50
Over 2.52.60price rising, opened at 2.45
Under 2.51.49price rising, opened at 1.44
Over 3.55.19price rising, opened at 4.65
Under 3.51.16price rising, opened at 1.13
Both teams to score
Yes2.03price falling, opened at 2.06
No1.76price rising, opened at 1.68
Odd/Even
Odd1.93price rising, opened at 1.90
Even1.82price rising, opened at 1.78
Handicap
Home +01.84price falling, opened at 2.03
Away +01.96price rising, opened at 1.79

What is the prediction for Newells Old Boys vs Velez Sarsfield?

Our correct score is 1-1, then 1-2. Both teams are in similar form heading into this match.

Methodology

Match highlights

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Match analysis

Newell's Old Boys are fighting relegation while Velez Sarsfield chase a continental qualification spot, and that gap in what is at stake is the backbone of Over 1.5 goals when the two meet on 11 September, a bet priced at 1.53 and rated 66 percent by Superior's model.

Two different fights, one open game

Newell's need goals and points to pull clear of the drop zone, and that urgency has produced a stretch of matches that rarely stay tight, including two wins by a scoreline that cleared this line comfortably. Velez arrive with their own incentive to keep pushing forward, sitting in the middle of the qualification picture with too much still to play for to sit back.

The goalless draw that would break it

Velez have drawn four of their last five without scoring more than once in three of those games, and a repeat of that pattern combined with a quiet night from Newell's would leave this at 0-0 or 1-0, the only two scorelines that beat Over 1.5. That mutual caution is the live risk here.

More tips for this game

  • Correct score: 1-1Won5.80
Compare bookmakers

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After full time

Top five correct scores

  1. 1-111.4%Our score
  2. 1-28.5%Alternative
  3. 2-18.3%
  4. 0-17.7%
  5. 1-07.6%

Top five combined: 43.5%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeNewells Old BoysxG1.47
AwayVelez SarsfieldxG1.49
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
5.2%
7.6%
5.6%
2.7%
1.0%
0.3%
<0.1%
1
7.7%
11%
8.3%
4.1%
1.5%
0.4%
0.1%
2
5.8%
8.5%
6.2%
3.0%
1.1%
0.3%
0.1%
3
2.9%
4.2%
3.1%
1.5%
0.6%
0.2%
<0.1%
4
1.1%
1.6%
1.1%
0.6%
0.2%
<0.1%
<0.1%
5
0.3%
0.5%
0.3%
0.2%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
6+
<0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%

Goals and BTTS chances

Both teams to score Yes 59.6%40.4% No
Over 1.5 79.4%20.6% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 56.7%43.3% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 34.3%65.7% Under 3.5

Combos

Combos

Newells Old Boys win and over 2.5 goals24.0%
Newells Old Boys win and both teams score19.9%
Velez Sarsfield win and over 2.5 goals24.7%
Draw and under 2.5 goals16.6%
Outcome markets
Newells Old Boys or draw61.8%
Velez Sarsfield or draw62.7%
Either team wins75.5%
Draw no bet: Newells Old Boys49.4%
Draw no bet: Velez Sarsfield50.6%
Newells Old Boys win to nil17.4%
Velez Sarsfield win to nil17.8%
Team goals
Newells Old Boys to score76.9%
Velez Sarsfield to score77.4%
Newells Old Boys over 1.5 goals43.1%
Velez Sarsfield over 1.5 goals43.8%
Newells Old Boys clean sheet22.6%
Velez Sarsfield clean sheet23.1%

Premium

  • Match highlights
  • Top five correct scores
  • Goals and BTTS chances
  • Combos
  • Custom Acca Builder

Today's acca

1 games, total odds 1.35Won

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Prediction, preview and head to head: Newells Old Boys vs Velez Sarsfield
Head to Head

Head to Head

Newells Old Boys vs Velez Sarsfield: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
4 May 2026Velez Sarsfield1 - 1Newells Old Boys
League Table

League Table

Liga Profesional ArgentinaArgentina · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
11610422915+1434
116943197+1231
2169252212+1029
216862229+1330
3167721812+628
3168531713+429
4168442016+428
4167541713+426
5167541713+426
5166642420+424
6166641815+324
6168261919026
7165741713+422
7165741414022
7165741414022
8165651715+221
8165652420+421
9166371717021
9165651515021
10164751821-319
10164841815+320
11166191320-719
11165471422-819
12165381719-218
12163761015-516
13163581520-514
13164481121-1016
14163671527-1215
1416088619-138
1516187512-711
15161213524-195
Liga Profesional Argentina - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Independ. Rivadavia16104229151434
1Estudiantes de La Plata169431971231
2River Plate1692522121029
2Boca Juniors168622291330
3Velez Sarsfield167721812628
3Argentinos Juniors168531713429
4Rosario Central168442016428
4Talleres Cordoba167541713426
5Belgrano Cordoba167541713426
5Independiente166642420424
6Lanus166641815324
6Gimnasia La Plata168261919026
7Huracan165741713422
7San Lorenzo165741414022
7San Lorenzo de Almagro165741414022
8Racing Club165651715221
8Union Santa Fe165652420421
9Instituto Cordoba166371717021
9Barracas Central165651515021
10Defensa Y Justicia164751821-319
10Tigre164841815320
11Sarmiento Junin166191320-719
11Gimnasia M.165471422-819
12Banfield165381719-218
12Platense163761015-516
13Atletico Tucuman163581520-514
13Central Cordoba de Santiago164481121-1016
14Newells Old Boys163671527-1215
14Aldosivi16088619-138
15Deportivo Riestra16187512-711
15Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto161213524-195