Free match forecasts, with the method on the page. Start with today's slate.
Every pick passes the same steps before it goes up, and every one is graded after full time.
Every match runs through a single goals model that returns a full distribution over scorelines. The percentage beside a pick is that pick's own chance of landing, it is the same number on every page that pick appears on, and it is locked with the pick.
Measured in September 2026 across 41,252 played matches, the forecast lands within one goal on both sides 55.7% of the time, and a two-goal forecast lands within a goal about 63% of the time. The model's strength is the shape of a match: how many goals, and how tight. That is why almost every pick here is a goals market.
When our model rates a bet far above what its price implies, we treat that gap as a warning sign and throw the bet out: those land 45% to 63%, where the rest land about 70%. The Bet of the Day, Top picks and the accumulator also drop bets the two sides' recent form argues against, and bets whose price has drifted away from where the bookmaker opened it.
Every published pick is settled against the official result and stays on the site afterwards. The whole archive is open, and the data behind it is free to download.
Free match forecasts, with the method on the page. Start with today's slate.
Each forecast shows the selected outcome, the analysis timestamp and a link to the methodology.
Completed forecasts in the public archive link back to their original match pages.
Premium adds the complete score distribution and derived goals-market probabilities. The primary forecast remains public.
