Goals: Over 1.5
76%Odds 1.30
UEFA Nations League
SerbiaNetherlands
Correct score0-21-2
Bet of the Day
27 September 2026
27 September 2026. Our strongest pick of the day.
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70%1.50
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Join on TelegramMatch analysis
Serbia have conceded 14 goals in their last five games, and that record anchors Superior's Bet of the Day for 27 September: Over 1.5 goals in Serbia vs Netherlands. The price is 1.30 and the model rates it 76 percent, with the Netherlands scoring in every one of their own last five.
Serbia lost 2-1 at home to Greece on 24 September
Superior's expected scoring rates put most of this match's goals at the Dutch end, and the correct score is 0-2 with 1-2 the alternative. Serbia's defence is the reason: 2-1 against Greece three days before this game, 5-1 in Mexico, 3-0 in Cape Verde and 3-0 in Spain, with a 2-1 win over Saudi Arabia the only result in the run that went their way. The Netherlands average 2.6 goals a game, 5-1 against Sweden and 3-1 in Tunisia among them, so two goals is a modest ask of this pairing.
Germany held the Netherlands to 1-1 on 24 September
Over 1.5 loses on 0-0, 1-0 or 0-1. The Dutch attack rates 6.2, and their most recent game finished on exactly two goals. Serbia failed to score in the 3-0 defeats by Cape Verde and Spain, so a Dutch side that stops at one on a quiet afternoon, with Serbia blank again, would leave the total at one.
More tips for this game
- Asian Handicap: Away -0.25
- Asian Handicap: Away -0.5
- Match Winner: Away
- Asian Handicap: Away -1.25
