Padova vs Ascoli Prediction - 12 September 2026
Our pick:Under 3.5 goals
78%Odds 1.22Won
Correct score1-1Alternative1-0
What is the prediction for Padova vs Ascoli?
Our correct score is 1-1, then 1-0. Ascoli are in better form heading into this match.
Match highlights
PremiumMatch analysis
Padova's own attack carries a 6.5 rating in Superior's model, yet that has produced only one win in five, and it underpins the Under 3.5 pick for Padova vs Ascoli on 12 September, priced at 1.22 with a 77 percent read.
Padova's attack rating has not matched their results
The model rates Padova's attacking output at 6.5 and their defensive solidity at 6.4, decent underlying numbers for this level, but one win, two draws and two losses in their last five suggest a side that creates without finishing. They have scored six and conceded eight across that run, hardly a platform for a high scoring afternoon.
Ascoli carry the more productive attack
Ascoli arrive in better form, three wins in their last five including a win on the road, and eight goals scored across that stretch shows a functioning attack. This loses if the match produces four goals or more, and Ascoli's scoring combined with Padova's leaky defence, eight conceded in the same span, is the most obvious way that happens.
More tips for this game
- Goals: Under 2.5
- Correct score: 1-0
- Correct score: 1-1
Premium
After full time
Top five correct scores
- 1-113.0%Our score
- 1-011.5%Alternative
- 0-110.3%
- 0-09.1%
- 2-18.2%
Top five combined: 52.1%
Full score grid
Score Matrix
Goals and BTTS chances
Combos
Combos
Outcome markets
Team goals
Today's acca
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Formations
Expected formations
League Table
League Table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | +5 | 13 | ||
| 2 | 4 | +5 | 10 | ||
| 3 | 5 | +3 | 10 | ||
| 4 | 4 | +3 | 8 | ||
| 5 | 4 | +3 | 7 | ||
| 6 | 5 | +1 | 7 | ||
| 7 | 5 | +1 | 7 | ||
| 8 | 5 | +1 | 7 | ||
| 9 | 5 | -1 | 7 | ||
| 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | ||
| 11 | 4 | -1 | 6 | ||
| 12 | 4 | -4 | 6 | ||
| 13 | 4 | -2 | 5 | ||
| 14 | 5 | +1 | 5 | ||
| 15 | 5 | -2 | 5 | ||
| 16 | 4 | +2 | 4 | ||
| 17 | 5 | -4 | 4 | ||
| 18 | 5 | -3 | 3 | ||
| 19 | 5 | -4 | 3 | ||
| 20 | 5 | -4 | 1 |
| Position | Team | Played | Won | Drawn | Lost | Goals For | Goals Against | Goal Difference | Points | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palermo | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 13 | |
| 2 | Mantova | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 10 | |
| 3 | Ascoli | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 10 | |
| 4 | Sudtirol | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 8 | |
| 5 | Modena | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 7 | |
| 6 | Cesena | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 7 | |
| 7 | Avellino | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 7 | |
| 8 | Benevento | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 7 | |
| 9 | Padova | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 7 | |
| 10 | Pisa | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 6 | |
| 11 | Empoli | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 6 | |
| 12 | Arezzo | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 6 | |
| 13 | Vicenza Virtus | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 5 | |
| 14 | Virtus Entella | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 5 | |
| 15 | Cremonese | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 5 | |
| 16 | Verona | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 4 | |
| 17 | Sampdoria | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 4 | |
| 18 | Juve Stabia | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 3 | |
| 19 | Catanzaro | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 3 | |
| 20 | Carrarese | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 1 |