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Boston River vs Progreso Prediction - 19 September 2026

Primera División - AperturaUruguayFull time
Boston River
1-2
Progreso

Our pick:Under 3.5 goals

76%Odds 1.27Won

Correct score1-0Alternative1-1

Bookmaker odds

Home2.04price rising, opened at 1.89
Draw3.25price rising, opened at 3.24
Away3.67price falling, opened at 3.73
More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.31
Under 1.53.25price rising, opened at 2.92
Over 2.52.11price rising, opened at 2.03
Under 2.51.73price rising, opened at 1.67
Over 3.53.71price rising, opened at 3.58
Under 3.51.25price rising, opened at 1.21
Both teams to score
Yes1.87price rising, opened at 1.85
No1.87price rising, opened at 1.84
Odd/Even
Odd1.93price rising, opened at 1.85
Even1.82price rising, opened at 1.81
Handicap
Home -0.251.76price rising, opened at 1.64
Away +0.252.06price falling, opened at 2.07

What is the prediction for Boston River vs Progreso?

Our correct score is 1-0, then 1-1. Progreso are in better form heading into this match.

Methodology

Why this prediction

  • Boston River and Progreso average 3.0 goals a match between them, against a line of 3.5.

More tips for this game

  • Correct score: 1-1Lost6.00
Compare bookmakers

Premium

After full time

Top five correct scores

  1. 1-015.9%Our score
  2. 1-112.0%Alternative
  3. 2-011.2%
  4. 0-010.5%
  5. 2-19.6%

Top five combined: 59.2%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeBoston RiverxG1.44
AwayProgresoxG0.75
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
11%
16%
11%
5.5%
2.0%
0.7%
0.2%
1
7.6%
12%
9.6%
4.4%
1.6%
0.5%
0.1%
2
2.8%
4.4%
3.7%
1.9%
0.6%
0.2%
<0.1%
3
0.8%
1.2%
0.9%
0.5%
0.2%
<0.1%
<0.1%
4
0.2%
0.2%
0.2%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
5
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
6+
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%

Goals and BTTS chances

Both teams to score Yes 42.6%57.4% No
Over 1.5 66.0%34.0% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 40.0%60.0% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 19.7%80.3% Under 3.5

Combos

Combos

Boston River win and over 2.5 goals27.7%
Boston River win and both teams score19.3%
Progreso win and over 2.5 goals8.1%
Draw and under 2.5 goals22.5%
Outcome markets
Boston River or draw81.5%
Progreso or draw45.2%
Either team wins73.3%
Draw no bet: Boston River74.8%
Draw no bet: Progreso25.2%
Boston River win to nil35.5%
Progreso win to nil11.4%
Team goals
Boston River to score78.1%
Progreso to score54.0%
Boston River over 1.5 goals44.4%
Progreso over 1.5 goals18.2%
Boston River clean sheet46.0%
Progreso clean sheet21.9%

Today's acca

1 games, total odds 1.35

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Formations

Confirmed formations

Boston River: 4-2-3-1(confirmed lineup)Progreso: 4-2-3-1(confirmed lineup)
Prediction, preview and head to head: Boston River vs Progreso
Head to Head

Head to Head

Boston River vs Progreso: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
22 March 2026Progreso0 - 1Boston River
29 January 2026Boston River1 - 2Progreso
31 August 2025Boston River2 - 1Progreso
19 June 2025Progreso2 - 0Boston River
League Table

League Table

Primera División - AperturaUruguay · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
12817564623+2355
22816575132+1953
330141153624+1253
4158342316+727
42915774427+1752
530154114538+749
62912893635+144
729111083727+1043
829108113137-638
92998123539-435
102997133738-134
113089132834-633
1229711112533-832
132995152343-2032
142986152840-1230
153084182543-1828
1629414112438-1426
Primera División - Apertura - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Peñarol Montevideo28175646232355
2Atletico Torque28165751321953LWWLW
3Racing Montevideo301411536241253WLDDD
4Penarol158342316727WWDWL
4Deportivo Maldonado29157744271752DLDWW
5Club Nacional30154114538749LDWLW
6Wanderers2912893635144WWWDW
7Liverpool Montevideo291110837271043DWLDW
8Central Espanol29108113137-638DLDDW
9Juventud2998123539-435DWLDL
10Albion FC2997133738-134DLDWL
11Cerro Largo3089132834-633LWDDW
12Defensor Sporting29711112533-832LDDDL
13Cerro2995152343-2032WWLLW
14Boston River2986152840-1230LLDDL
15Progreso3084182543-1828WLLWL
16Danubio29414112438-1426DLDDD