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Independiente Medellin vs Jaguares Prediction - 22 September 2026

Primera AColombiaFull time
Independiente Medellin
2-1
Jaguares

Our pick:Home win

68%Odds 1.38Won

Correct score2-0Alternative1-0

Bookmaker odds

Home1.35price rising, opened at 1.34
Draw5.25price rising, opened at 4.85
Away8.10price falling, opened at 8.30
More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.17price falling, opened at 1.18
Under 1.55.00price rising, opened at 3.88
Over 2.51.58price falling, opened at 1.69
Under 2.52.38price rising, opened at 2.11
Over 3.52.50price falling, opened at 2.59
Under 3.51.53price rising, opened at 1.39
Both teams to score
Yes1.90price falling, opened at 1.98
No1.90price rising, opened at 1.74
Odd/Even
Odd1.87price rising, opened at 1.85
Even1.87price rising, opened at 1.85
Handicap
Home -1.51.95
Away +1.51.85

What is the prediction for Independiente Medellin vs Jaguares?

Our correct score is 2-0, then 1-0. Both teams are in similar form heading into this match.

Methodology

Match highlights

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Match analysis

Independiente Medellin host Jaguares on 22 September, and Superior's model makes the home win its pick at 1.38, a 68 percent read in Colombia's Primera A. Medellin have not lost to Jaguares in three meetings, and they arrive averaging 2.4 goals a game to Jaguares' 1.8.

Medellin have won both of their last two trips to Jaguares

Independiente Medellin's record against this opponent reads two away wins and a home draw across the last three meetings, home advantage never even needed to get the job done. They arrive on the back of three wins in five, including a 4-1 win at Deportivo Pasto and a 3-0 win at Deportivo Pereira, and average 2.4 goals a game to Jaguares' 1.8. Four days' rest since their last outing against Bucaramanga removes any fatigue excuse too.

Jaguares have drawn four of their last five

An away win is not the danger to this pick, a draw is. Jaguares have drawn four of their last five matches, including back-to-back 2-2 and 3-3 results, and they sit in a relegation fight on 18 points that gives every game an edge. A team that keeps splitting points rather than losing outright is exactly what turns a backed favourite into a shared point.

More tips for this game

  • Goals: Under 3.5Won1.45
  • Goals: Under 2.5Lost2.17
  • Correct score: 2-0Lost5.20
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After full time

Top five correct scores

  1. 2-011.2%Our score
  2. 1-012.1%Alternative
  3. 2-110.5%
  4. 1-110.5%
  5. 3-06.9%

Top five combined: 51.2%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeIndependiente MedellinxG2.06
AwayJaguaresxG0.78
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
6.0%
12%
11%
6.9%
3.5%
1.4%
0.7%
1
4.9%
10%
11%
6.3%
3.0%
1.1%
0.5%
2
2.0%
4.5%
4.2%
2.9%
1.3%
0.4%
0.2%
3
0.7%
1.2%
1.2%
0.8%
0.4%
0.1%
<0.1%
4
0.2%
0.3%
0.2%
0.2%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
5
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
6+
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%

Goals and BTTS chances

Both teams to score Yes 50.3%49.7% No
Over 1.5 77.0%23.0% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 53.2%46.8% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 30.5%69.5% Under 3.5

Combos

Combos

Independiente Medellin win and over 2.5 goals39.4%
Independiente Medellin win and both teams score26.9%
Jaguares win and over 2.5 goals8.7%
Draw and under 2.5 goals16.5%
Outcome markets
Independiente Medellin or draw84.3%
Jaguares or draw37.3%
Either team wins78.4%
Draw no bet: Independiente Medellin80.0%
Draw no bet: Jaguares20.0%
Independiente Medellin win to nil35.8%
Jaguares win to nil7.9%
Team goals
Independiente Medellin to score86.1%
Jaguares to score58.2%
Independiente Medellin over 1.5 goals57.4%
Jaguares over 1.5 goals21.4%
Independiente Medellin clean sheet41.8%
Jaguares clean sheet13.9%

Premium

  • Match highlights
  • Top five correct scores
  • Goals and BTTS chances
  • Combos
  • Custom Acca Builder

Today's acca

1 games, total odds 1.35Won

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Prediction, preview and head to head: Independiente Medellin vs Jaguares
Head to Head

Head to Head

Independiente Medellin vs Jaguares: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
15 March 2026Jaguares1 - 2Independiente Medellin
7 August 2025Jaguares0 - 1Independiente Medellin
31 July 2025Independiente Medellin1 - 1Jaguares
League Table

League Table

Primera AColombia · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
11913153515+2040
21911263124+735
31910452925+434
41910362515+1033
5198923122+933
6198742717+1031
7197842922+729
8197752626028
8197752626028
9197662016+427
10197573123+826
11197572624+226
12197572025-526
12197572025-526
13195862620+623
141941051720-322
15195772227-522
161953112033-1318
17193881327-1417
17193881327-1417
181952121532-1717
19193792235-1316
19193792235-1316
201917111532-1710
Primera A - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Atletico Nacional19131535152040WWLWW
2Junior1911263124735LLLWW
3Deportivo Pasto1910452925434LLLLL
4America de Cali19103625151033WWLDW
5Once Caldas198923122933DWDLW
6Deportes Tolima1987427171031WWLLW
7Santa Fe197842922729DLLDW
8Internacional de Bogota197752626028LLLLW
8La Equidad FC197752626028
9Deportivo Cali197662016427LWDWL
10Millonarios197573123826WLDWL
11Independiente Medellin197572624226WWLWW
12Águilas Doradas197572025-526WWWDL
12Rionegro Aguilas197572025-526
13Bucaramanga195862620623DWLDL
14Llaneros1941051720-322DWLDL
15Fortaleza FC195772227-522DDWLL
16Jaguares1953112033-1318LLWDL
17Alianza Valledupar193881327-1417LDDDL
17Alianza Petrolera193881327-1417
18Chico1952121532-1717LWLLW
19Cucuta193792235-1316LLDLW
19Cúcuta Deportivo193792235-1316
20Deportivo Pereira1917111532-1710DLLWL