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Junior vs Independiente Medellin Prediction - 27 September 2026

Primera AColombiaFull time
Junior
2-0
Independiente Medellin

Our pick:Over 1.5 goals

73%Odds 1.30Won

Correct score1-1Alternative2-1

Bookmaker odds

Home2.34price rising, opened at 2.18
Draw3.25price falling, opened at 3.26
Away2.90price falling, opened at 3.19
More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.22price falling, opened at 1.23
Under 1.53.50price rising, opened at 3.42
Over 2.51.81price falling, opened at 1.84
Under 2.51.92price rising, opened at 1.89
Over 3.52.88price falling, opened at 2.97
Under 3.51.32price rising, opened at 1.30
Both teams to score
Yes1.63price falling, opened at 1.66
No2.14price rising, opened at 2.09
Odd/Even
Odd1.89
Even1.81
Handicap
Home -0.251.98price rising, opened at 1.86
Away +0.251.75price falling, opened at 1.86

What is the prediction for Junior vs Independiente Medellin?

Our correct score is 1-1, then 2-1. Junior are in better form heading into this match.

Methodology

Match highlights

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Match analysis

Independiente Medellin have crammed five games into the weeks since 4 September and scored in every one of them. Superior's pick for Junior vs Independiente Medellin on 27 September is Over 1.5 goals, rated at 73 percent by the model and priced at 1.3.

Medellin average 2.4 goals a game on a heavy schedule

Medellin's run includes 4-1 at Pasto and 3-0 at Pereira, and they have conceded in four of the five. Medellin beat Jaguares 2-1 on 22 September, their fifth game since 4 September. Junior average two goals a game themselves after 4-1 at Fortaleza and 3-3 with Jaguares. Superior's model measures both attacks against both defences before it prices every possible score.

Junior won the November 2025 meeting 1-0

Two of the last five meetings would have lost this bet, Junior's 1-0 home win in November 2025 and Medellin's 1-0 win in June 2025. Junior also lost 1-0 at Alianza Petrolera on 13 September. A cagey game that finishes 1-0 either way, or 0-0, is the result to fear.

More tips for this game

  • Correct score: 1-1Lost5.90
Compare bookmakers

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After full time

Top five correct scores

  1. 1-112.0%Our score
  2. 1-09.4%
  3. 2-19.3%Alternative
  4. 1-27.9%
  5. 0-17.6%

Top five combined: 46.2%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeJuniorxG1.45
AwayIndependiente MedellinxG1.24
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
6.3%
9.4%
6.8%
3.3%
1.3%
0.4%
0.1%
1
7.6%
12%
9.3%
4.2%
1.5%
0.5%
0.2%
2
5.0%
7.9%
5.9%
2.9%
1.0%
0.3%
<0.1%
3
2.2%
3.1%
2.4%
1.3%
0.5%
0.1%
<0.1%
4
0.7%
0.9%
0.7%
0.4%
0.2%
<0.1%
<0.1%
5
0.2%
0.3%
0.2%
0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
6+
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%

Goals and BTTS chances

Both teams to score Yes 56.4%43.6% No
Over 1.5 76.7%23.3% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 52.9%47.1% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 30.1%69.9% Under 3.5

Combos

Combos

Junior win and over 2.5 goals26.0%
Junior win and both teams score20.8%
Independiente Medellin win and over 2.5 goals19.5%
Draw and under 2.5 goals18.3%
Outcome markets
Junior or draw67.9%
Independiente Medellin or draw57.8%
Either team wins74.3%
Draw no bet: Junior56.8%
Draw no bet: Independiente Medellin43.2%
Junior win to nil21.4%
Independiente Medellin win to nil15.9%
Team goals
Junior to score77.8%
Independiente Medellin to score72.3%
Junior over 1.5 goals44.2%
Independiente Medellin over 1.5 goals36.9%
Junior clean sheet27.7%
Independiente Medellin clean sheet22.2%

Premium

  • Match highlights
  • Top five correct scores
  • Goals and BTTS chances
  • Combos
  • Custom Acca Builder

Today's acca

1 games, total odds 1.35

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Prediction, preview and head to head: Junior vs Independiente Medellin
Head to Head

Head to Head

Junior vs Independiente Medellin: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
20 March 2026Independiente Medellin2 - 0Junior
8 December 2025Independiente Medellin2 - 1Junior
20 November 2025Junior1 - 0Independiente Medellin
21 September 2025Independiente Medellin2 - 2Junior
11 June 2025Independiente Medellin1 - 0Junior
League Table

League Table

Primera AColombia · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
11913153515+2040
21911263124+735
31910452925+434
41910362515+1033
5198923122+933
6198742717+1031
7197842922+729
8197752626028
8197752626028
9197662016+427
10197573123+826
11197572624+226
12197572025-526
12197572025-526
13195862620+623
141941051720-322
15195772227-522
161953112033-1318
17193881327-1417
17193881327-1417
181952121532-1717
19193792235-1316
19193792235-1316
201917111532-1710
Primera A - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Atletico Nacional19131535152040WWLWW
2Junior1911263124735LLLWW
3Deportivo Pasto1910452925434LLLLL
4America de Cali19103625151033WWLDW
5Once Caldas198923122933DWDLW
6Deportes Tolima1987427171031WWLLW
7Santa Fe197842922729DLLDW
8Internacional de Bogota197752626028LLLLW
8La Equidad FC197752626028
9Deportivo Cali197662016427LWDWL
10Millonarios197573123826WLDWL
11Independiente Medellin197572624226WWLWW
12Águilas Doradas197572025-526WWWDL
12Rionegro Aguilas197572025-526
13Bucaramanga195862620623DWLDL
14Llaneros1941051720-322DWLDL
15Fortaleza FC195772227-522DDWLL
16Jaguares1953112033-1318LLWDL
17Alianza Valledupar193881327-1417LDDDL
17Alianza Petrolera193881327-1417
18Chico1952121532-1717LWLLW
19Cucuta193792235-1316LLDLW
19Cúcuta Deportivo193792235-1316
20Deportivo Pereira1917111532-1710DLLWL