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Al Shorta vs Erbil Prediction - 4 September 2026

Iraqi LeagueIraqFull time
Al Shorta
0-0
Erbil

Our pick:Over 1.5 goals

78%Odds 1.27Lost

Correct score1-1Alternative2-1

Bookmaker odds

Home1.81price falling, opened at 2.01
Draw3.63price rising, opened at 3.18
Away3.67price rising, opened at 3.46
More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.28price falling, opened at 1.32
Under 1.53.08price rising, opened at 2.88
Over 2.51.90price falling, opened at 2.06
Under 2.51.79price rising, opened at 1.67
Over 3.53.14price falling, opened at 3.58
Under 3.51.27price rising, opened at 1.21
Both teams to score
Yes1.72price falling, opened at 1.83
No1.96price rising, opened at 1.84
Odd/Even
Odd1.85price rising, opened at 1.84
Even1.79price falling, opened at 1.80
Handicap
Home -0.251.77price rising, opened at 1.72
Away +0.251.87price falling, opened at 1.94

What is the prediction for Al Shorta vs Erbil?

Our correct score is 1-1, then 2-1. Al Shorta are in better form heading into this match.

Methodology

Match analysis

Both Al Shorta and Erbil are fighting for a continental qualification spot on the final day of the season, high-stakes context behind Superior's Over 1.5 goals pick on 4 September, priced at 1.27 with the model 67 percent confident. Erbil arrive on four days' rest after their last match.

Both sides are scoring freely with everything on the line

Al Shorta are averaging 1.4 goals a game themselves and Erbil 1.6, a combined rate of 3.0 that clears this line comfortably, and both attacks have found the net in four of their own last five matches. A final-day continental race tends to produce committed, front-foot football rather than a cagey stalemate.

The one meeting on record finished with a single goal

The only previous meeting between these sides on record finished 0-1, just one goal in the whole game. If nerves on a final matchday produce a similarly tight, cautious contest instead of the open game both attacking records suggest, a 1-0 or a 0-0 is the only way this loses, and that single data point is worth respecting even though it stands alone.

Premium

After full time

Top five correct scores

  1. 1-111.4%Our score
  2. 2-19.3%Alternative
  3. 1-09.0%
  4. 1-27.3%
  5. 2-07.3%

Top five combined: 44.3%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeAl ShortaxG1.62
AwayErbilxG1.27
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
5.6%
9.0%
7.3%
3.9%
1.6%
0.5%
0.2%
1
7.1%
11%
9.3%
5.0%
2.0%
0.7%
0.2%
2
4.5%
7.3%
5.9%
3.2%
1.3%
0.4%
0.1%
3
1.9%
3.1%
2.5%
1.3%
0.5%
0.2%
<0.1%
4
0.6%
1.0%
0.8%
0.4%
0.2%
<0.1%
<0.1%
5
0.2%
0.2%
0.2%
0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
6+
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%

Goals and BTTS chances

Both teams to score Yes 57.7%42.3% No
Over 1.5 78.4%21.6% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 55.1%44.9% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 32.8%67.2% Under 3.5

Combos

Combos

Al Shorta win and over 2.5 goals29.2%
Al Shorta win and both teams score23.0%
Erbil win and over 2.5 goals18.5%
Draw and under 2.5 goals17.0%
Outcome markets
Al Shorta or draw69.9%
Erbil or draw54.5%
Either team wins75.6%
Draw no bet: Al Shorta60.1%
Draw no bet: Erbil39.9%
Al Shorta win to nil22.5%
Erbil win to nil14.3%
Team goals
Al Shorta to score80.1%
Erbil to score72.0%
Al Shorta over 1.5 goals48.0%
Erbil over 1.5 goals36.3%
Al Shorta clean sheet28.0%
Erbil clean sheet19.9%

Today's acca

1 games, total odds 1.35Won

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Prediction, preview and head to head: Al Shorta vs Erbil
Head to Head

Head to Head

Al Shorta vs Erbil: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
24 October 2025Erbil1 - 0Al Shorta
League Table

League Table

Iraqi LeagueIraq · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
18530153+1218
27520135+817
37421134+914
4742193+614
5733185+312
6733174+312
7731398+110
8723267-19
97232710-39
107151101008
1172231213-18
127223911-28
1371421011-17
14714245-17
15714268-27
1682151014-47
177133712-56
188134513-86
197124612-65
208125412-85
Iraqi League - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Al Zawra'a85301531218
2Al-Karma7520135817
3Newroz7421134914
4Erbil742193614
5Naft733185312
6Al Shorta733174312
7Al Minaa Basra731398110
8Al-jolan Sc723267-19
9Zakho7232710-39
10Duhok7151101008
11Diyala72231213-18
12Mosul7223911-28
13Al Quwa Al Jawiya71421011-17
14Ghaz Al Shamal714245-17
15Al Kahrabaa714268-27
16Al Karkh82151014-47
17Al Talaba7133712-56
18Naft Maysan8134513-86
19Karbala7124612-65
20Gharraf8125412-85