Avispa Fukuoka vs Mito Hollyhock Prediction - 5 September 2026
Our pick:Under 2.5 goals
53%Odds 1.47Won
Correct score1-1Alternative1-0
What is the prediction for Avispa Fukuoka vs Mito Hollyhock?
Our correct score is 1-1, then 1-0. Mito Hollyhock are in better form heading into this match.
Match highlights
PremiumMatch analysis
The 1.47 price on Under 2.5 goals for Avispa Fukuoka's J1 League home date with Mito Hollyhock on 5 September needs about 68 percent to break even before margin, well under the 74 percent probability Superior's model gives the pick, built on both sides averaging exactly 1.2 goals a game.
Both attacks are averaging exactly 1.2 goals a game
Avispa Fukuoka and Mito Hollyhock are both averaging 1.2 goals a game this season, a combined rate that sits comfortably under the 2.5 line. Both sides are also carrying identical fixture congestion, three days' rest and four matches in the last fortnight, which tends to flatten games into cagier, more cautious contests rather than end-to-end ones.
Avispa's 3-0 win shows the congestion has not always meant caution
The pick loses if this produces three goals or more, and Avispa's 3-0 win earlier in their run did exactly that despite the same heavy schedule. Mito Hollyhock have also scored three in a 3-1 win this season. If either side finds an early goal against a tired opponent, the extra fixtures could work against caution rather than for it.
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After full time
Top five correct scores
- 1-112.6%Our score
- 1-011.1%Alternative
- 0-19.0%
- 2-18.8%
- 0-07.9%
Top five combined: 49.4%
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Score Matrix
Goals and BTTS chances
Combos
Combos
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Team goals
Today's acca
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League Table
League Table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | +13 | 17 | ||
| 2 | 7 | +6 | 16 | ||
| 3 | 7 | +3 | 15 | ||
| 4 | 7 | +13 | 14 | ||
| 5 | 7 | +5 | 14 | ||
| 6 | 7 | +2 | 13 | ||
| 7 | 7 | +4 | 12 | ||
| 8 | 7 | +1 | 12 | ||
| 9 | 7 | +2 | 11 | ||
| 10 | 7 | -5 | 10 | ||
| 11 | 7 | +2 | 9 | ||
| 12 | 7 | -4 | 9 | ||
| 13 | 7 | -3 | 7 | ||
| 14 | 7 | -5 | 7 | ||
| 15 | 7 | -5 | 6 | ||
| 16 | 7 | -6 | 6 | ||
| 17 | 7 | -5 | 5 | ||
| 18 | 7 | -2 | 4 | ||
| 19 | 7 | -6 | 4 | ||
| 20 | 7 | -10 | 4 |
| Position | Team | Played | Won | Drawn | Lost | Goals For | Goals Against | Goal Difference | Points | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Machida Zelvia | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 19 | 6 | 13 | 17 | |
| 2 | Vissel Kobe | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 16 | |
| 3 | Kashiwa Reysol | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 10 | 3 | 15 | |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 19 | 6 | 13 | 14 | |
| 5 | FC Tokyo | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 14 | |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 13 | |
| 7 | Kawasaki Frontale | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 12 | |
| 8 | Kashima | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 12 | |
| 9 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 11 | |
| 10 | Cerezo Osaka | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 10 | |
| 11 | Mito Hollyhock | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 9 | |
| 12 | Urawa | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 9 | |
| 13 | Shimizu S-pulse | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 7 | |
| 14 | V-varen Nagasaki | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 7 | |
| 15 | Gamba Osaka | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 6 | |
| 16 | Nagoya Grampus | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 6 | |
| 17 | Kyoto Sanga | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 5 | |
| 18 | Avispa Fukuoka | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 4 | |
| 19 | Tokyo Verdy | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 4 | |
| 20 | JEF United Chiba | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 16 | -10 | 4 |