Carrarese vs Empoli Prediction - 5 September 2026
Our pick:Under 3.5 goals
81%Odds 1.27Won
Correct score1-1Alternative1-0
What is the prediction for Carrarese vs Empoli?
Our correct score is 1-1, then 1-0. Empoli are in better form heading into this match.
Match highlights
PremiumMatch analysis
Neither Carrarese nor Empoli is converting even a quarter of its shots on target this season, and that shared inefficiency is why Superior rates Under 3.5 goals an 80 percent probability for their Serie B meeting on 5 September in Italy, priced at 1.27.
Neither attack is converting even a quarter of its shots on target
Carrarese's attack carries a 6.2 rating but has scored from only 16.7 percent of its shots on target, while Empoli's slightly sharper 6.3 rating still converts just over a quarter of its own chances. That inefficiency lines up with the scoring: Carrarese average 0.6 goals a game and Empoli 1.0, and four of Carrarese's last five have finished with one goal or fewer for each side.
Carrarese's 3-0 in January is the scoreline that breaks this
The pick loses if this produces four goals or more. Carrarese won the reverse fixture 3-0 in January, and the meeting before that finished 2-2, so this pairing has produced four-plus goals in both of the last two meetings between them. If either finishing rate ticks up even slightly from its current low base, that pattern could repeat.
More tips for this game
- Goals: Under 2.5
- Correct score: 1-1
Premium
After full time
Top five correct scores
- 1-113.2%Our score
- 1-013.0%Alternative
- 0-110.7%
- 0-010.5%
- 2-18.2%
Top five combined: 55.6%
Full score grid
Score Matrix
Goals and BTTS chances
Combos
Combos
Outcome markets
Team goals
Today's acca
1 games, total odds 1.35Get the daily pick and the morning ticket on Telegram.
Join on Telegram
Formations
Expected formations
Head to Head
Head to Head
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23 January 2026 | Carrarese | 3 - 0 | Empoli |
| 28 September 2025 | Empoli | 2 - 2 | Carrarese |
League Table
League Table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | +5 | 13 | ||
| 2 | 4 | +5 | 10 | ||
| 3 | 5 | +3 | 10 | ||
| 4 | 4 | +3 | 8 | ||
| 5 | 4 | +3 | 7 | ||
| 6 | 5 | +1 | 7 | ||
| 7 | 5 | +1 | 7 | ||
| 8 | 5 | +1 | 7 | ||
| 9 | 5 | -1 | 7 | ||
| 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | ||
| 11 | 4 | -1 | 6 | ||
| 12 | 4 | -4 | 6 | ||
| 13 | 4 | -2 | 5 | ||
| 14 | 5 | +1 | 5 | ||
| 15 | 5 | -2 | 5 | ||
| 16 | 4 | +2 | 4 | ||
| 17 | 5 | -4 | 4 | ||
| 18 | 5 | -3 | 3 | ||
| 19 | 5 | -4 | 3 | ||
| 20 | 5 | -4 | 1 |
| Position | Team | Played | Won | Drawn | Lost | Goals For | Goals Against | Goal Difference | Points | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palermo | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 13 | |
| 2 | Mantova | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 10 | |
| 3 | Ascoli | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 10 | |
| 4 | Sudtirol | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 8 | |
| 5 | Modena | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 7 | |
| 6 | Cesena | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 7 | |
| 7 | Avellino | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 7 | |
| 8 | Benevento | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 7 | |
| 9 | Padova | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 7 | |
| 10 | Pisa | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 6 | |
| 11 | Empoli | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 6 | |
| 12 | Arezzo | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 6 | |
| 13 | Vicenza Virtus | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 5 | |
| 14 | Virtus Entella | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 5 | |
| 15 | Cremonese | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 5 | |
| 16 | Verona | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 4 | |
| 17 | Sampdoria | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 4 | |
| 18 | Juve Stabia | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 3 | |
| 19 | Catanzaro | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 3 | |
| 20 | Carrarese | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 1 |