Cerro vs Racing Montevideo Prediction

Our pick:Under 2.5 goals

53%Odds 1.50Won

Correct score1-1Alternative0-1

Bookmaker odds

Home4.54

Draw3.04

Away1.92

More markets

Total goals

Over 1.51.54

Under 1.52.38

Over 2.52.65

Under 2.51.45

Over 3.55.14

Under 3.51.14

Both teams to score

Yes2.27

No1.59

Odd/Even

Odd1.93

Even1.82

Handicap

Home +0.751.69

Away -0.752.17

What is the prediction for Cerro vs Racing Montevideo?

Our correct score is 1-1, then 0-1. Both teams are in similar form heading into this match.

Methodology

Match analysis

Four straight meetings between Cerro and Racing Montevideo have been decided by a single goal, and Racing's shorter two days' rest against Cerro's four adds to Superior's case for Under 2.5 goals at 1.5 in their Primera Division Apertura meeting on 6 September, a 74 percent probability.

Every one of the last four meetings was decided by one goal

The head to head between these two has been remarkably tight: four straight meetings decided by a single goal, three of them 1-0 or 1-0 the other way. Racing's shorter rest, two days against Cerro's four, adds to the case for a cagey, low-event match rather than the kind of open game that produces a flurry of goals.

Racing have won three of the last four meetings

LOSES IF: three or more goals combined. Racing's continental push gives them a reason to press for a second goal if they get an early lead, and their one loss in this head to head run, a 1-2 defeat, shows the game can open up when a side chases the result. If Racing go ahead early and Cerro have to commit players forward against the relegation clock, the tight one-goal pattern of the last four meetings can break.

Written by the Superior Football Desk

More tips for this game

Correct score: 1-1Lost5.40
Correct score: 0-1Lost5.75

Compare bookmakers

After full time

Top five correct scores

1-112.3%Our score
0-111.6%Alternative
1-29.2%
0-28.7%
1-08.2%

Top five combined: 50.0%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeCerroxG1.06

AwayRacing MontevideoxG1.49

7.8%

8.2%

4.4%

1.5%

0.4%

<0.1%

12%

6.5%

2.3%

0.6%

0.1%

<0.1%

8.7%

9.2%

4.9%

1.7%

0.5%

<0.1%

4.3%

4.6%

2.4%

0.9%

0.2%

<0.1%

1.6%

1.7%

0.9%

0.3%

<0.1%

0.5%

0.3%

<0.1%

0.2%

<0.1%

Goals and BTTS chances

Both teams to score Yes 50.7%49.3% No

Over 1.5 72.4%27.6% Under 1.5

Over 2.5 47.0%53.0% Under 2.5

Over 3.5 25.4%74.6% Under 3.5

Combos

Cerro win and over 2.5 goals14.3%

Cerro win and both teams score12.2%

Racing Montevideo win and over 2.5 goals26.9%

Draw and under 2.5 goals20.1%

Outcome markets

Cerro or draw52.8%

Racing Montevideo or draw73.1%

Either team wins74.1%

Draw no bet: Cerro36.3%

Draw no bet: Racing Montevideo63.7%

Cerro win to nil14.7%

Racing Montevideo win to nil26.9%

Team goals

Cerro to score65.3%

Racing Montevideo to score77.6%

Cerro over 1.5 goals28.6%

Racing Montevideo over 1.5 goals44.0%

Cerro clean sheet22.4%

Racing Montevideo clean sheet34.7%

Today's acca

1 games, total odds 1.35Won

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Prediction, preview and head to head: Cerro vs Racing Montevideo

Head to Head

Cerro vs Racing Montevideo: Head-to-Head History
Date	Home	Score	Away
26 July 2026	Cerro	1 - 0	Racing Montevideo
8 March 2026	Racing Montevideo	1 - 0	Cerro
15 January 2026	Racing Montevideo	2 - 1	Cerro
10 August 2025	Cerro	1 - 2	Racing Montevideo

League Table

Primera División - AperturaUruguay · 2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Peñarol Montevideo	28	17	5	6	46	23	+23	55
2	Atletico Torque	28	16	5	7	51	32	+19	53
3	Racing Montevideo	30	14	11	5	36	24	+12	53
4	Penarol	15	8	3	4	23	16	+7	27
4	Deportivo Maldonado	29	15	7	7	44	27	+17	52
5	Club Nacional	30	15	4	11	45	38	+7	49
6	Wanderers	29	12	8	9	36	35	+1	44
7	Liverpool Montevideo	29	11	10	8	37	27	+10	43
8	Central Espanol	29	10	8	11	31	37	-6	38
9	Juventud	29	9	8	12	35	39	-4	35
10	Albion FC	29	9	7	13	37	38	-1	34
11	Cerro Largo	30	8	9	13	28	34	-6	33
12	Defensor Sporting	29	7	11	11	25	33	-8	32
13	Cerro	29	9	5	15	23	43	-20	32
14	Boston River	29	8	6	15	28	40	-12	30
15	Progreso	30	8	4	18	25	43	-18	28
16	Danubio	29	4	14	11	24	38	-14	26

Primera División - Apertura - League Table
Position	Team	Played	Won	Drawn	Lost	Goals For	Goals Against	Goal Difference	Points	Form
1	Peñarol Montevideo	28	17	5	6	46	23	23	55
2	Atletico Torque	28	16	5	7	51	32	19	53	LWWLW
3	Racing Montevideo	30	14	11	5	36	24	12	53	WLDDD
4	Penarol	15	8	3	4	23	16	7	27	WWDWL
4	Deportivo Maldonado	29	15	7	7	44	27	17	52	DLDWW
5	Club Nacional	30	15	4	11	45	38	7	49	LDWLW
6	Wanderers	29	12	8	9	36	35	1	44	WWWDW
7	Liverpool Montevideo	29	11	10	8	37	27	10	43	DWLDW
8	Central Espanol	29	10	8	11	31	37	-6	38	DLDDW
9	Juventud	29	9	8	12	35	39	-4	35	DWLDL
10	Albion FC	29	9	7	13	37	38	-1	34	DLDWL
11	Cerro Largo	30	8	9	13	28	34	-6	33	LWDDW
12	Defensor Sporting	29	7	11	11	25	33	-8	32	LDDDL
13	Cerro	29	9	5	15	23	43	-20	32	WWLLW
14	Boston River	29	8	6	15	28	40	-12	30	LLDDL
15	Progreso	30	8	4	18	25	43	-18	28	WLLWL
16	Danubio	29	4	14	11	24	38	-14	26	DLDDD

Cerro vs Racing Montevideo Prediction - 6 September 2026

Bookmaker odds

What is the prediction for Cerro vs Racing Montevideo?

Match analysis

Every one of the last four meetings was decided by one goal

Racing have won three of the last four meetings

More tips for this game

Premium

Top five correct scores

Goals and BTTS chances

Combos

Combos

More Primera División - Apertura predictions

Head to Head

League Table