Farense vs Chaves Prediction - 6 September 2026
Our pick:Under 3.5 goals
74%Odds 1.26
Picked at 1.26 · now 1.27
Correct score1-1Alternative1-0
What is the prediction for Farense vs Chaves?
Our correct score is 1-1, then 1-0. Farense are in better form heading into this match.
Match analysis
Chaves have lost four of their last five matches and shipped ten goals in doing it, yet both of their wins over Farense came by tidy two-goal margins, the split record behind Superior's Under 3.5 goals price of 1.26 for their Liga Portugal 2 meeting on 6 September, a 73 percent probability.
Chaves' defence has been the problem, not their attack
Chaves have conceded in every one of their last five matches, including that 1-4 defeat and a 2-2 draw, but they have also failed to score in two of them, which keeps their own attacking output capped even as their defence leaks. Farense have been streakier, a 3-1 away win sitting next to two defeats, but neither side has shown the kind of consistent firepower that reliably produces four-goal matches.
Chaves have won this fixture twice without needing goals
LOSES IF: four or more goals combined. Both of Chaves' wins over Farense came by two-goal margins built on defence, not an avalanche of goals, so history argues for a similar shape again. The risk is Farense's home attack, which scored three in their last win, meeting a Chaves side already shipping goals for fun and pushing this into shootout territory instead.
More tips for this game
- Goals: Under 2.5
- Correct score: 1-1
Today's acca
1 games, total odds 1.35WonGet the daily pick and the morning ticket on Telegram.
Join on Telegram
Head to Head
Head to Head
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 February 2026 | Chaves | 2 - 0 | Farense |
| 28 September 2025 | Farense | 0 - 2 | Chaves |
League Table
League Table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | +8 | 13 | ||
| 2 | 5 | +6 | 13 | ||
| 3 | 5 | +3 | 12 | ||
| 4 | 6 | +2 | 10 | ||
| 5 | 6 | +3 | 10 | ||
| 6 | 5 | +3 | 10 | ||
| 7 | 6 | +2 | 10 | ||
| 8 | 6 | -2 | 9 | ||
| 9 | 6 | +1 | 9 | ||
| 10 | 5 | +2 | 8 | ||
| 11 | 6 | -2 | 7 | ||
| 12 | 6 | 0 | 6 | ||
| 13 | 6 | -1 | 6 | ||
| 14 | 6 | -2 | 6 | ||
| 15 | 6 | -3 | 5 | ||
| 16 | 5 | -4 | 4 | ||
| 17 | 5 | -9 | 3 | ||
| 18 | 6 | -7 | 1 |
| Position | Team | Played | Won | Drawn | Lost | Goals For | Goals Against | Goal Difference | Points | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penafiel | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 13 | |
| 2 | Lusitânia Lourosa | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 13 | |
| 3 | Sporting CP B | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 12 | |
| 4 | Benfica B | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 10 | |
| 5 | União de Leiria | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 10 | |
| 6 | Vizela | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 10 | |
| 7 | Leixoes | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 10 | |
| 8 | Academica | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 9 | |
| 9 | Tondela | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 9 | |
| 10 | Farense | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 8 | |
| 11 | Portimonense | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 7 | |
| 12 | AVS | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 6 | |
| 13 | Felgueiras 1932 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 6 | |
| 14 | Torreense | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 6 | |
| 15 | Amarante | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 5 | |
| 16 | Chaves | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 4 | |
| 17 | FC Porto B | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 11 | -9 | 3 | |
| 18 | Feirense | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 8 | -7 | 1 |