Skip to picks

Panathinaikos vs PAOK Prediction - 6 September 2026

Super League 1GreeceFull time
Panathinaikos
3-1
PAOK

Our pick:Under 3.5 goals

74%Odds 1.30Lost

Correct score1-1Alternative1-0

Bookmaker odds

Home2.05price falling, opened at 2.46
Draw3.34price rising, opened at 3.20
Away3.56price rising, opened at 2.83
More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.25price falling, opened at 1.28
Under 1.53.30price rising, opened at 3.13
Over 2.51.90price falling, opened at 2.00
Under 2.51.87price rising, opened at 1.78
Over 3.53.08price falling, opened at 3.30
Under 3.51.29price rising, opened at 1.25
Both teams to score
Yes1.72price falling, opened at 1.74
No2.01price rising, opened at 1.98
Odd/Even
Odd1.88
Even1.80
Handicap
Home -0.251.74
Away +0.252.02

What is the prediction for Panathinaikos vs PAOK?

Our correct score is 1-1, then 1-0. Panathinaikos are in better form heading into this match.

Methodology

Match analysis

Four of the last five Athens derbies between Panathinaikos and PAOK have stayed under three combined goals, a pattern behind Superior's Under 3.5 goals price of 1.3 for their Greek Super League 1 meeting on 6 September, rated a 74 percent probability.

Four of the last five derbies stayed under three goals

Only one of the last five head to head meetings, a 2-2 draw in May, went above two total goals, with the other four settling at 0-0, 2-0, 0-1 and 2-0. Both sides are also carrying an identical schedule load into this one, three days' rest and four matches in the last fortnight each, which tends to keep a heated fixture more cautious than expansive.

That 2-2 draw shows the ceiling is there

LOSES IF: four or more goals combined. The most recent meeting between these two did clear this line, a 2-2 draw that shows the derby can open up when both attacks are sharp. PAOK have scored in four of their last five games, so if that recent shootout repeats rather than the tighter pattern of the four meetings before it, this total is beaten.

More tips for this game

  • Goals: Under 2.5Lost1.81
  • Correct score: 1-1Lost6.00
Compare bookmakers

Premium

After full time

Top five correct scores

  1. 1-112.6%Our score
  2. 1-010.3%Alternative
  3. 0-19.5%
  4. 2-18.4%
  5. 1-27.8%

Top five combined: 48.6%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomePanathinaikosxG1.33
AwayPAOKxG1.23
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
7.7%
10%
6.9%
3.1%
1.0%
0.3%
<0.1%
1
9.5%
13%
8.4%
3.8%
1.3%
0.3%
<0.1%
2
5.8%
7.8%
5.2%
2.3%
0.8%
0.2%
<0.1%
3
2.4%
3.2%
2.1%
0.9%
0.3%
<0.1%
<0.1%
4
0.7%
1.0%
0.6%
0.3%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
5
0.2%
0.2%
0.2%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
6+
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%

Goals and BTTS chances

Both teams to score Yes 52.1%47.9% No
Over 1.5 72.5%27.5% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 47.2%52.8% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 25.6%74.4% Under 3.5

Combos

Combos

Panathinaikos win and over 2.5 goals22.1%
Panathinaikos win and both teams score17.7%
PAOK win and over 2.5 goals18.9%
Draw and under 2.5 goals20.4%
Outcome markets
Panathinaikos or draw65.8%
PAOK or draw60.7%
Either team wins73.4%
Draw no bet: Panathinaikos53.5%
Draw no bet: PAOK46.5%
Panathinaikos win to nil21.6%
PAOK win to nil18.6%
Team goals
Panathinaikos to score73.7%
PAOK to score70.7%
Panathinaikos over 1.5 goals38.5%
PAOK over 1.5 goals34.7%
Panathinaikos clean sheet29.3%
PAOK clean sheet26.3%

Today's acca

1 games, total odds 1.35Won

Get the daily pick and the morning ticket on Telegram.

Join on Telegram
Prediction, preview and head to head: Panathinaikos vs PAOK
Head to Head

Head to Head

Panathinaikos vs PAOK: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
17 May 2026Panathinaikos2 - 2PAOK
5 April 2026PAOK0 - 0Panathinaikos
11 February 2026PAOK2 - 0Panathinaikos
4 February 2026Panathinaikos0 - 1PAOK
21 December 2025PAOK2 - 0Panathinaikos
League Table

League Table

Super League 1Greece · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
14400112+912
2430194+59
3430162+49
4430174+39
54220112+98
6421132+17
75212510-57
8513146-26
9512247-35
10411267-14
11502347-32
12402237-42
13401327-51
14401308-81
Europa LeagueRelegation
Super League 1 - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Panathinaikos4400112912
2PAOK43019459
3OFI Crete43016249
4Panetolikos43017439
5AEK Athens FC422011298
6Olympiakos Piraeus42113217
7Aris Thessaloniki5212510-57
8Iraklis 1908513146-26
9Kifisia512247-35
10Kalamata411267-14
11Atromitos502347-32
12Volos NFC402237-42
13Asteras Tripolis401327-51
14Levadiakos401308-81