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Crystal Palace vs Middlesbrough Prediction - 8 September 2026

League CupEnglandFull time
Crystal Palace
3-0
Middlesbrough

Our pick:Over 1.5 goals

83%Odds 1.21Won

Correct score1-1Alternative2-1

Bookmaker odds

Home1.77price rising, opened at 1.73
Draw3.90price falling, opened at 3.98
Away4.30price falling, opened at 4.46
More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.16
Under 1.54.55
Over 2.51.62
Under 2.52.30
Over 3.52.42
Under 3.51.49
Both teams to score
Yes1.57price falling, opened at 1.59
No2.28price rising, opened at 2.24
Odd/Even
Odd1.87
Even1.83
Handicap
Home -0.751.90price rising, opened at 1.86
Away +0.751.82price falling, opened at 1.86

What is the prediction for Crystal Palace vs Middlesbrough?

Our correct score is 1-1, then 2-1. Crystal Palace are in better form heading into this match.

Methodology

Match highlights

Premium

Match analysis

Middlesbrough have not been involved in a single game below two total goals in their last five, the run behind Superior's Over 1.5 pick for their League Cup trip to Crystal Palace on 8 September at 1.21, rated 61 percent by the model. Crystal Palace's own defence has shipped three or more goals in three of those same five matches.

Middlesbrough have not been involved in a low-scoring game all run

Every one of Middlesbrough's last five matches produced at least two total goals, including back-to-back 3-1 wins and a 2-1 victory most recently. Crystal Palace's own goals-against column reads 4, 2, 3 and 3 across four of their last five, evidence their defence has been open at exactly the rate this total needs.

Crystal Palace's one win still came with goals at both ends

Palace's only win in this run was a 3-1, still a four-goal game, and combined with Middlesbrough's 2.0 goals a game on the road, the two sides project to 2.8 goals between them. The model's own goals market backs that up, rating this Over close to eight in ten.

Neither side has a qualifying low-scoring game to point to

Over 1.5 loses only at zero or one total goal, a total neither side has produced once in this run: Palace's tightest result was a 0-2 defeat and Middlesbrough's was a 1-1 draw, both still clearing this line. The honest risk is that recent form is the only guide a cup tie between these two provides, and one uncharacteristically quiet night from either attack is what it would take to break the pattern.

Written by the Superior Football Desk

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After full time

Top five correct scores

  1. 1-110.2%Our score
  2. 2-19.4%Alternative
  3. 1-07.5%
  4. 1-26.9%
  5. 2-06.9%

Top five combined: 40.9%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeCrystal PalacexG1.84
AwayMiddlesbroughxG1.36
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
4.1%
7.5%
6.9%
4.2%
1.9%
0.7%
0.3%
1
5.5%
10%
9.4%
5.8%
2.6%
1.0%
0.4%
2
3.8%
6.9%
6.4%
3.9%
1.8%
0.7%
0.3%
3
1.7%
3.1%
2.9%
1.8%
0.8%
0.3%
0.1%
4
0.6%
1.1%
1.0%
0.6%
0.3%
0.1%
<0.1%
5
0.2%
0.3%
0.3%
0.2%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
6+
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%

Goals and BTTS chances

Both teams to score Yes 62.5%37.5% No
Over 1.5 82.9%17.1% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 62.0%38.0% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 39.8%60.2% Under 3.5

Combos

Combos

Crystal Palace win and over 2.5 goals34.4%
Crystal Palace win and both teams score27.2%
Middlesbrough win and over 2.5 goals19.1%
Draw and under 2.5 goals14.3%
Outcome markets
Crystal Palace or draw71.5%
Middlesbrough or draw51.2%
Either team wins77.3%
Draw no bet: Crystal Palace63.2%
Draw no bet: Middlesbrough36.8%
Crystal Palace win to nil21.6%
Middlesbrough win to nil11.8%
Team goals
Crystal Palace to score84.1%
Middlesbrough to score74.3%
Crystal Palace over 1.5 goals54.9%
Middlesbrough over 1.5 goals39.4%
Crystal Palace clean sheet25.7%
Middlesbrough clean sheet15.9%

Premium

  • Match highlights
  • Top five correct scores
  • Goals and BTTS chances
  • Combos
  • Custom Acca Builder

Today's acca

1 games, total odds 1.35

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Formations

Confirmed formations

Crystal Palace: 4-2-3-1(confirmed lineup)Middlesbrough: 4-2-3-1(confirmed lineup)
Prediction, preview and head to head: Crystal Palace vs Middlesbrough