Capiata Bulls vs Dep. San Jose basketball prediction

LNBFull time
Capiata Bulls
76:93
Dep. San Jose
Projected score
75-90
Home8%
Away92%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

What is the prediction for Capiata Bulls vs Dep. San Jose?

Basketball: Capiata Bulls vs Dep. San Jose (LNB). Projected 75-90. Dep. San Jose is favoured at 92%. Our projected total is 165 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v2Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • Our projection: Dep. San Jose by 15Our projected margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginCapiata BullsDep. San Jose
Wins8%92%
By 6+6%82%
By 11+4%71%
By 16+3%59%
By 21+2%47%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that projects the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Form and context

Capiata Bulls

Season record
0-2
Points per game
71.5
Points allowed
104
Rest
6 d
  1. L71-109Olimpia Kings Asuncion
  2. L72-99Felix Perez Cardozo

Dep. San Jose

Season record
23-5
Points per game
86.3
Points allowed
79.3
Rest
8 d
  1. W96-53San Alfonzo
  2. W95-91Olimpia Kings Asuncion
  3. W93-75Felix Perez Cardozo
  4. W105-95Colonias Gold
  5. W71-69Deportivo Amambay

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

Final, including overtimeCapiata Bulls 76, Dep. San Jose 93winner call correct

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology