Universidad Catolica vs CD Puerto Varas basketball prediction

LNB
Universidad Catolica
vs
CD Puerto Varas
Projected score
79-79
Home45%
Away55%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

What is the prediction for Universidad Catolica vs CD Puerto Varas?

Basketball: Universidad Catolica vs CD Puerto Varas (LNB). Projected 79-79. CD Puerto Varas is favoured at 55%. Our projected total is 158 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v2Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • Our projection: levelOur projected margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginUniversidad CatolicaCD Puerto Varas
Wins45%55%
By 6+32%38%
By 11+20%24%
By 16+12%14%
By 21+6%7%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that projects the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Form and context

Universidad Catolica

Season record
6-18
Points per game
76.9
Points allowed
83.6
Rest
17 d
  1. L76-79Leones Quilpue
  2. L67-80Puente Alto CD
  3. L54-79Universidad de Concepcion
  4. L74-87Leones Quilpue
  5. W99-80Espanol de Talca

CD Puerto Varas

Season record
19-16
Points per game
80.3
Points allowed
80.6
Rest
18 d
  1. W95-79Espanol Osorno
  2. L69-96Valdivia
  3. L82-86Ancud
  4. W102-67Naviera Ulloa
  5. L59-80Puerto Montt

Head to head

  1. Mar 16, 25CD Puerto Varas67Universidad Catolica49
  2. Mar 9, 25Universidad Catolica47CD Puerto Varas98

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology