Olimpia Kings Asuncion vs Colonias Gold basketball prediction

LNB
Projected score
80-76
Home62%
Away38%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

What is the prediction for Olimpia Kings Asuncion vs Colonias Gold?

Basketball: Olimpia Kings Asuncion vs Colonias Gold (LNB). Projected 80-76. Olimpia Kings Asuncion is favoured at 62%. Our projected total is 156 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v2Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • Our projection: Olimpia Kings Asuncion by 4Our projected margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginOlimpia Kings AsuncionColonias Gold
Wins62%38%
By 6+51%30%
By 11+42%23%
By 16+32%17%
By 21+24%12%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that projects the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Form and context

Olimpia Kings Asuncion

Season record
18-9
Points per game
84
Points allowed
74
Rest
7 d
  1. W91-59Deportivo Campoalto
  2. W109-71Capiata Bulls
  3. L91-95Dep. San Jose
  4. W102-84San Alfonzo
  5. W108-87Felix Perez Cardozo

Colonias Gold

Season record
14-10
Points per game
80.8
Points allowed
75.8
Rest
6 d
  1. W90-45San Alfonzo
  2. W80-72Deportivo Amambay
  3. W91-74Deportivo Campoalto
  4. W83-56Panevezys Women
  5. L95-105Dep. San Jose

Head to head

  1. Aug 10, 26Colonias Gold71Olimpia Kings Asuncion60
  2. Jun 18, 26Olimpia Kings Asuncion91Colonias Gold62
  3. Jun 15, 26Colonias Gold60Olimpia Kings Asuncion75
  4. Jun 11, 26Olimpia Kings Asuncion90Colonias Gold80
  5. May 21, 26Colonias Gold64Olimpia Kings Asuncion79

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology