San Alfonzo vs Felix Perez Cardozo basketball prediction

LNB
San Alfonzo
vs
Felix Perez Cardozo
Projected score
75-83
Home18%
Away82%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

What is the prediction for San Alfonzo vs Felix Perez Cardozo?

Basketball: San Alfonzo vs Felix Perez Cardozo (LNB). Projected 75-83. Felix Perez Cardozo is favoured at 82%. Our projected total is 158 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v2Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • Our projection: Felix Perez Cardozo by 8Our projected margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginSan AlfonzoFelix Perez Cardozo
Wins18%82%
By 6+14%70%
By 11+10%58%
By 16+7%47%
By 21+5%36%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that projects the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Form and context

San Alfonzo

Season record
7-17
Points per game
71.5
Points allowed
82
Rest
7 d
  1. L45-90Colonias Gold
  2. L53-96Dep. San Jose
  3. L67-81Deportivo Amambay
  4. L84-102Olimpia Kings Asuncion
  5. L75-86Deportivo Campoalto

Felix Perez Cardozo

Season record
11-14
Points per game
82.8
Points allowed
84.1
Rest
14 d
  1. W79-78Deportivo Campoalto
  2. W99-72Capiata Bulls
  3. L75-93Dep. San Jose
  4. L87-108Olimpia Kings Asuncion
  5. W88-85San Alfonzo

Head to head

  1. Aug 11, 26Felix Perez Cardozo88San Alfonzo85
  2. May 18, 26San Alfonzo56Felix Perez Cardozo89
  3. Apr 23, 26Felix Perez Cardozo96San Alfonzo71
  4. Oct 2, 25Felix Perez Cardozo127San Alfonzo70
  5. Sep 8, 25San Alfonzo58Felix Perez Cardozo74

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology