Valenzuela City Darkhorse vs Ilagan Isabela Cowboys basketball prediction

MPBL
Valenzuela City Darkhorse
vs
Ilagan Isabela Cowboys
Projected score
84-86
Home38%
Away62%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

What is the prediction for Valenzuela City Darkhorse vs Ilagan Isabela Cowboys?

Basketball: Valenzuela City Darkhorse vs Ilagan Isabela Cowboys (MPBL). Projected 84-86. Ilagan Isabela Cowboys is favoured at 62%. Our projected total is 170 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v2Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • Our projection: Ilagan Isabela Cowboys by 2Our projected margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginValenzuela City DarkhorseIlagan Isabela Cowboys
Wins38%62%
By 6+28%47%
By 11+19%34%
By 16+12%22%
By 21+7%14%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that projects the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Form and context

Valenzuela City Darkhorse

Season record
13-12
Points per game
85.5
Points allowed
87.8
Rest
12 d
  1. L71-81Rizal Golden Coolers
  2. L70-106Abra Weavers
  3. W76-73Zamboanga Sikat
  4. W87-82Bulacan Kuyas
  5. L74-102Binan Tatak Gel

Ilagan Isabela Cowboys

Season record
14-10
Points per game
82.8
Points allowed
82.5
Rest
4 d
  1. L67-94Abra Weavers
  2. L72-77Rizal Golden Coolers
  3. L52-80Cebu Greats
  4. W80-73Meycauayan
  5. W101-89Negros Hacienderos

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

Premium

Premium

Predictions stay free. Premium adds the extras below, on football and basketball.

  • Match highlightsVideo highlights for football and basketball games, on the match page as soon as we find them.
  • Scoreline DepthExplore the complete score distribution, the five most likely scorelines with probabilities and their cumulative probability.
  • Market Probability ViewCompare model probabilities for BTTS and the main goal lines in one view.
  • Full Market BoardCheck correlated combos such as home win with over 2.5, plus double chance, draw no bet, win to nil and team goals in one board.
  • Custom Acca BuilderUnlimited builds to a target odd, with reshuffle. Free users get 1 build per day.

No automatic renewal.

This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology