Head to Head Stats & Predictions
Next meeting
Match analysis
Ethiopia come into this on shorter rest than Senegal after losing 1-0 in Sudan on 25 September, and they have scored four goals in their last five games. Superior expects Ethiopia vs Senegal on 29 September to end 0-2 to Senegal, with 1-2 the alternative.
Senegal beat Iraq 5-0 and drew 1-1 in Mozambique
Superior's score grid is built from each side's expected scoring rate, and Senegal's carries weight from a 6.4 attack rating and 1.8 goals a game across a run against France, Norway, Saudi Arabia, Iraq and Mozambique. Ethiopia average 0.8 and have not scored more than once in any of their last five: 0-1, 1-1, 1-0, 1-3 and 1-0. Senegal's defence rates 6.3 against that thin output, and the forecast keeps Ethiopia at nil.
Ethiopia scored in all three of their recent home games
A 0-2 needs an Ethiopian blank, and at home they have found the net each time lately: 1-1 and 1-0 against Malawi in June and 1-0 against Guinea-Bissau last October. One Ethiopian goal turns the forecast into the 1-2 alternative. Senegal also drew four days before this game and were held 0-0 by Saudi Arabia in June, so a quieter Senegal night is possible too.
Match History
Head to Head
These two have never met in our records.
Recent Form
Head to Head
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 September 2026 | Sudan | 1 - 0 | Ethiopia |
| 9 June 2026 | Ethiopia | 1 - 1 | Malawi |
| 6 June 2026 | Ethiopia | 1 - 0 | Malawi |
| 12 October 2025 | Burkina Faso | 3 - 1 | Ethiopia |
Head to Head
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 September 2026 | Mozambique | 1 - 1 | Senegal |
| 26 June 2026 | Senegal | 5 - 0 | Iraq |
| 23 June 2026 | Norway | 3 - 2 | Senegal |
| 16 June 2026 | France | 3 - 1 | Senegal |
| 9 June 2026 | Saudi Arabia | 0 - 0 | Senegal |
