Skip to picks
Offers

Fakel vs FC Krasnodar Prediction - 1 September 2026

CupRussiaPEN
Fakel
3-4Pens
AET 1-1
FC Krasnodar

Our pick:Away -0.5

56%Odds 1.48Lost

Correct score0-1Alternative1-1

Bookmaker odds

Home4.22price falling, opened at 5.45
Draw3.66price falling, opened at 4.52
Away1.84price rising, opened at 1.54
More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.30price rising, opened at 1.12
Under 1.53.55price falling, opened at 4.70
Over 2.51.95price rising, opened at 1.52
Under 2.51.85price falling, opened at 2.34
Over 3.53.19price rising, opened at 2.41
Under 3.51.35price falling, opened at 1.57
Both teams to score
Yes1.76price rising, opened at 1.63
No2.06price falling, opened at 2.17
Odd/Even
Odd1.90price rising, opened at 1.85
Even1.84price falling, opened at 1.85
Handicap
Home +0.751.71
Away -0.752.14

What is the prediction for Fakel vs FC Krasnodar?

Our correct score is 0-1, then 1-1. FC Krasnodar are in better form heading into this match.

Methodology

Match highlights

Premium

Match analysis

An Asian Handicap of minus 0.5 on Krasnodar, away at Fakel in the Russian Cup on 1 September, is Superior's pick, available at 1.48. The model backs that cover at 68 percent confidence, built on a Krasnodar defence rated 6.8 against a Fakel attack rated just 6.0.

Krasnodar's defence rating of 6.8 is well clear of Fakel's 6.0 attack rating

That gap matters here because an Asian Handicap of minus 0.5 only requires a straight win, and Krasnodar have delivered exactly that in each of their last five matches, including three by a two-goal margin or more. Fakel, by contrast, have not won any of their own last five, drawing twice and losing the other three, one of them 2-3. The two previous meetings between these sides also went to Krasnodar, 3-2 and 5-0.

Fakel have held two of their last five games goalless

Two 0-0 scorelines in Fakel's recent form show they can still shut a game down when they need to, and both of those clean sheets came at this ground. LOSES IF: this match finishes level or Fakel win outright, since an Asian Handicap of minus 0.5 on Krasnodar needs nothing less than an away victory to land.

Written by the Superior Football Desk

More tips for this game

  • Goals: Under 3.5Won1.58
  • Asian Handicap: Away -0.25Lost1.36
  • Match Winner: AwayLost1.57
  • Asian Handicap: Away -1.25Lost2.08
Compare bookmakers

Premium

After full time

Top five correct scores

  1. 0-116.6%Our score
  2. 0-212.4%
  3. 1-111.6%Alternative
  4. 0-011.0%
  5. 1-28.7%

Top five combined: 60.3%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeFakelxG0.70
AwayFC KrasnodarxG1.50
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
11%
7.8%
2.7%
0.6%
0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
1
17%
12%
4.1%
1.0%
0.2%
<0.1%
<0.1%
2
12%
8.7%
3.1%
0.7%
0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
3
6.2%
4.4%
1.5%
0.4%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
4
2.3%
1.6%
0.6%
0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
5
0.7%
0.5%
0.2%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
6+
0.2%
0.2%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%

Goals and BTTS chances

Both teams to score Yes 39.3%60.7% No
Over 1.5 64.7%35.3% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 37.9%62.1% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 18.2%81.8% Under 3.5

Combos

Combos

Fakel win and over 2.5 goals7.0%
Fakel win and both teams score6.2%
FC Krasnodar win and over 2.5 goals27.4%
Draw and under 2.5 goals22.7%
Outcome markets
Fakel or draw43.6%
FC Krasnodar or draw82.5%
Either team wins73.9%
Draw no bet: Fakel23.6%
Draw no bet: FC Krasnodar76.4%
Fakel win to nil11.3%
FC Krasnodar win to nil38.5%
Team goals
Fakel to score50.5%
FC Krasnodar to score77.7%
Fakel over 1.5 goals15.7%
FC Krasnodar over 1.5 goals44.3%
Fakel clean sheet22.3%
FC Krasnodar clean sheet49.5%

Premium

  • Match highlights
  • Top five correct scores
  • Goals and BTTS chances
  • Combos
  • Custom Acca Builder

Today's acca

1 games, total odds 1.35Won

Get the daily pick and the morning ticket on Telegram.

Join on Telegram

More Cup predictions

Akron
Lokomotiv
Total goals: Under 3.568% 1.45
FC Rostov
CSKA Moscow
Total goals: Under 3.578% 1.33
View all predictions
Formations

Expected formations

FC Krasnodar: 4-2-3-1(predicted)
Prediction, preview and head to head: Fakel vs FC Krasnodar
Head to Head

Head to Head

FC Krasnodar
3 - 2
Fakel
2 August 2026
FC Krasnodar
5 - 0
Fakel
30 March 2025
Fakel vs FC Krasnodar: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
2 August 2026FC Krasnodar3 - 2Fakel
30 March 2025FC Krasnodar5 - 0Fakel