Swansea vs Watford Prediction - 1 September 2026
Our pick:Under 3.5 goals
83%Odds 1.38Won
Correct score1-0Alternative1-1
What is the prediction for Swansea vs Watford?
Our correct score is 1-0, then 1-1. Swansea are in better form heading into this match.
Match highlights
PremiumMatch analysis
Three meetings between Swansea and Watford have produced three different results, a Swansea win, a draw and a Watford win, and Superior projects the pattern stays tight for their Championship meeting on 1 September. The model backs a narrow 1-0 home win, with 1-1 the alternate score.
The last three meetings between Swansea and Watford have gone three different ways
A 2-0 Swansea win, a 1-1 draw and a 1-0 Watford win make up that head-to-head history, none of it settled comfortably. Swansea's own home form has been similarly mixed, a 1-0 win and a 0-1 loss inside their last three at this ground, while Watford's scoring rate of 1.0 goals a game is only narrowly ahead of Swansea's own 0.6. A tight, low-scoring home win fits both that recent split and each side's modest output.
A 1-5 home defeat is the outlier in Watford's recent defensive record
That 1-5 home defeat shows Watford's defence is not always as tight as a 1.0 goals-against average suggests, which could open the door to a heavier Swansea scoreline than the projected 1-0. LOSES IF: Watford win outright, or the match produces three or more total goals, since either result sits outside the narrow home win or 1-1 draw Superior has projected.
Premium
After full time
Top five correct scores
- 1-013.4%Our score
- 1-113.4%Alternative
- 0-011.6%
- 0-111.6%
- 2-07.8%
Top five combined: 57.8%
Full score grid
Score Matrix
Goals and BTTS chances
Combos
Combos
Outcome markets
Team goals
Today's acca
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Head to Head
Head to Head
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 January 2026 | Watford | 0 - 2 | Swansea |
| 23 August 2025 | Swansea | 1 - 1 | Watford |
League Table
League Table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | +7 | 17 | ||
| 2 | 8 | +11 | 15 | ||
| 3 | 8 | +4 | 15 | ||
| 4 | 7 | +3 | 14 | ||
| 5 | 8 | +3 | 13 | ||
| 6 | 8 | +1 | 13 | ||
| 7 | 8 | -1 | 13 | ||
| 8 | 8 | -3 | 12 | ||
| 9 | 6 | +4 | 11 | ||
| 10 | 8 | +1 | 11 | ||
| 11 | 8 | 0 | 11 | ||
| 12 | 8 | -1 | 11 | ||
| 13 | 8 | +9 | 10 | ||
| 14 | 8 | -3 | 10 | ||
| 15 | 7 | 0 | 9 | ||
| 16 | 8 | 0 | 9 | ||
| 17 | 8 | -2 | 9 | ||
| 18 | 7 | -1 | 8 | ||
| 19 | 8 | -3 | 8 | ||
| 20 | 8 | -2 | 7 | ||
| 21 | 7 | -5 | 7 | ||
| 22 | 8 | -7 | 5 | ||
| 23 | 8 | -7 | 4 | ||
| 24 | 8 | -8 | 4 |
| Position | Team | Played | Won | Drawn | Lost | Goals For | Goals Against | Goal Difference | Points | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swansea | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 17 | |
| 2 | West Ham | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 15 | |
| 3 | Middlesbrough | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 15 | |
| 4 | West Brom | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 14 | |
| 5 | QPR | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 13 | |
| 6 | Stoke City | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 13 | |
| 7 | Bristol City | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 13 | |
| 8 | Charlton | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 12 | |
| 9 | Wolves | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 11 | |
| 10 | Birmingham | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 11 | |
| 11 | Millwall | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 11 | |
| 12 | Lincoln | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 11 | |
| 13 | Southampton | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 10 | |
| 14 | Wrexham | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 10 | |
| 15 | Norwich | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 9 | |
| 16 | Blackburn | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 9 | |
| 17 | Sheffield United | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 9 | |
| 18 | Portsmouth | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 8 | |
| 19 | Watford | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 8 | |
| 20 | Cardiff | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 7 | |
| 21 | Bolton | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 7 | |
| 22 | Derby | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 14 | -7 | 5 | |
| 23 | Preston | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 4 | |
| 24 | Burnley | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 4 |