Burgos vs AD Ceuta FC Prediction - 11 September 2026
Our pick:Under 3.5 goals
75%Odds 1.39Lost
Correct score1-0Alternative1-1
What is the prediction for Burgos vs AD Ceuta FC?
Our correct score is 1-0, then 1-1. Burgos are in better form heading into this match.
Match analysis
Burgos and AD Ceuta FC meet in the Spanish second tier on 11 September with Under 3.5 goals priced at 1.39, and Superior's model puts the line at 60 percent. Between them these two sides are averaging under two goals a game this season, and Ceuta have been held to two or fewer in four of their last five matches.
Two sides that do not find the net often
Burgos are scoring at barely a goal a game and Ceuta not much better, and only one of the ten combined matches in their last five apiece produced more than three goals in total. Ceuta's away form has been especially thin, with three shutout defeats in their last five on the road.
The one recent match that says otherwise
Burgos did concede three goals in their most recent home defeat, and if Ceuta's attack finds a similar gap here while also conceding at their usual rate, four goals combined is within reach. That single result is the exception the model is betting against, not the pattern.
More tips for this game
- Correct score: 1-1
Premium
After full time
Top five correct scores
- 1-013.2%Our score
- 1-111.4%Alternative
- 2-011.1%
- 2-19.6%
- 0-07.8%
Top five combined: 53.1%
Full score grid
Score Matrix
Goals and BTTS chances
Combos
Combos
Outcome markets
Team goals
Today's acca
1 games, total odds 1.35Get the daily pick and the morning ticket on Telegram.
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Confirmed formations
Head to Head
Head to Head
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 April 2026 | Burgos | 1 - 1 | AD Ceuta FC |
| 29 November 2025 | AD Ceuta FC | 1 - 0 | Burgos |
League Table
League Table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | +10 | 16 | ||
| 2 | 6 | +8 | 15 | ||
| 3 | 7 | +6 | 13 | ||
| 4 | 6 | +6 | 13 | ||
| 5 | 6 | +6 | 12 | ||
| 6 | 7 | +2 | 12 | ||
| 7 | 6 | +3 | 11 | ||
| 8 | 6 | +1 | 11 | ||
| 9 | 7 | -1 | 11 | ||
| 10 | 6 | +1 | 10 | ||
| 11 | 6 | 0 | 10 | ||
| 12 | 6 | +1 | 8 | ||
| 13 | 7 | -1 | 8 | ||
| 14 | 7 | -1 | 8 | ||
| 15 | 7 | -3 | 8 | ||
| 16 | 7 | -3 | 6 | ||
| 17 | 6 | -4 | 6 | ||
| 18 | 6 | -4 | 5 | ||
| 19 | 6 | -5 | 5 | ||
| 20 | 7 | -3 | 4 | ||
| 21 | 7 | -11 | 4 | ||
| 22 | 7 | -8 | 1 |
| Position | Team | Played | Won | Drawn | Lost | Goals For | Goals Against | Goal Difference | Points | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Castellón | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 2 | 10 | 16 | |
| 2 | Eibar | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 15 | |
| 3 | Girona | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 13 | |
| 4 | Mallorca | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 13 | |
| 5 | Almeria | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 12 | |
| 6 | Sabadell | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 12 | |
| 7 | Burgos | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 11 | |
| 8 | Leganes | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 11 | |
| 9 | Tenerife | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 11 | |
| 10 | Sporting Gijon | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 10 | |
| 11 | Las Palmas | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 10 | |
| 12 | Oviedo | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 8 | |
| 13 | Granada CF | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 8 | |
| 14 | Real Sociedad II | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 8 | |
| 15 | Celta de Vigo II | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 8 | |
| 16 | Andorra | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 6 | |
| 17 | Cordoba | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 6 | |
| 18 | Eldense | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 5 | |
| 19 | Valladolid | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 5 | |
| 20 | Cadiz | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 4 | |
| 21 | AD Ceuta FC | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 17 | -11 | 4 | |
| 22 | Albacete | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 1 |