Morton vs Livingston Prediction - 11 September 2026
Our pick:Under 3.5 goals
70%Odds 1.45Lost
Correct score0-1Alternative1-1
What is the prediction for Morton vs Livingston?
Our correct score is 0-1, then 1-1. Livingston are in better form heading into this match.
Match analysis
Livingston's two wins in their last five have both finished 2-0, and that low-scoring habit is why Under 3.5 goals is priced at 1.45 for their trip to Morton in the Scottish Championship on 11 September, with Superior's model rating the line at 56 percent.
Neither side is built for a shootout
Livingston's away form has produced two 2-0 wins and two 0-1 defeats, never more than two goals in the match either way, while Morton have been held scoreless in three of their last five outings. Four of the ten combined recent matches finished with the exact low scoreline this pick is built around, and neither side has scored more than twice in a match all month.
Where four goals could still arrive
Morton's one high-scoring recent match, a 1-2 home defeat, shows they can be opened up, and if Livingston's attack has a rare productive night on top of that, the total could stretch beyond 3.5. It would take both trends breaking at once, which is why the model still leans low.
More tips for this game
- Asian Handicap: Away -0.25
- Match Winner: Away
- Asian Handicap: Away -0.5
- Asian Handicap: Away -1.25
Premium
After full time
Top five correct scores
- 0-112.1%Our score
- 0-211.3%
- 1-110.5%Alternative
- 1-29.8%
- 0-37.1%
Top five combined: 50.8%
Full score grid
Score Matrix
Goals and BTTS chances
Combos
Combos
Outcome markets
Team goals
Today's acca
1 games, total odds 1.35WonGet the daily pick and the morning ticket on Telegram.
Join on TelegramHead to Head
Head to Head
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 April 2025 | Morton | 1 - 2 | Livingston |
League Table
League Table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | +9 | 19 | ||
| 2 | 7 | +8 | 14 | ||
| 3 | 7 | +3 | 12 | ||
| 4 | 7 | +2 | 12 | ||
| 5 | 7 | +3 | 10 | ||
| 6 | 7 | -1 | 8 | ||
| 7 | 7 | -5 | 8 | ||
| 8 | 7 | -2 | 7 | ||
| 9 | 7 | -8 | 4 | ||
| 10 | 7 | -9 | 1 |
| Position | Team | Played | Won | Drawn | Lost | Goals For | Goals Against | Goal Difference | Points | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stenhousemuir | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 2 | 9 | 19 | D |
| 2 | Raith Rovers | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 14 | D |
| 3 | Partick | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 12 | W |
| 4 | Dunfermline | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 12 | D |
| 5 | Livingston | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 10 | W |
| 6 | Ayr Utd | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 8 | W |
| 7 | Arbroath | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 8 | L |
| 8 | Inverness CT | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 7 | D |
| 9 | Queen's Park | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 11 | -8 | 4 | L |
| 10 | Morton | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 13 | -9 | 1 | L |