Venezia vs Fiorentina Prediction - 11 September 2026
Our pick:Over 1.5 goals
87%Odds 1.27Won
Correct score1-1Alternative2-1
What is the prediction for Venezia vs Fiorentina?
Our correct score is 1-1, then 2-1. Fiorentina are in better form heading into this match.
Match highlights
PremiumMatch analysis
A modest 55 percent read backs Over 1.5 goals when Venezia host Fiorentina in Serie A on 11 September, the thinnest edge on this line in the batch, priced at 1.27 with these two sides averaging under two goals a game combined.
A combined rate that barely clears the line
Venezia and Fiorentina are averaging a shade under two goals a game between them, which explains the modest 55 percent read, but Fiorentina's defence has still been breached in four of their last five, including three matches conceding three or more. Venezia's own attack has scored in three of their last five despite a rough run of results.
The quiet night that beats a thin edge
Fiorentina's one draw in this stretch finished 1-1, showing a low-scoring night is well within range for a side that has struggled all month, and if Venezia's attack goes cold at the same time, 0-0 or 1-0 beats this pick. With the model's own confidence this close to a coin flip, that risk is real rather than a footnote.
More tips for this game
- Correct score: 1-1
- Correct score: 2-1
Premium
After full time
Top five correct scores
- 1-19.1%Our score
- 2-18.7%Alternative
- 1-27.4%
- 2-27.0%
- 1-05.7%
Top five combined: 37.9%
Full score grid
Score Matrix
Goals and BTTS chances
Combos
Combos
Outcome markets
Team goals
Today's acca
1 games, total odds 1.35Get the daily pick and the morning ticket on Telegram.
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Expected formations
Head to Head
Head to Head
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May 2025 | Venezia | 2 - 1 | Fiorentina |
League Table
League Table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | +11 | 13 | ||
| 2 | 5 | +7 | 13 | ||
| 3 | 5 | +5 | 13 | ||
| 4 | 5 | +3 | 12 | ||
| 5 | 4 | +5 | 10 | ||
| 6 | 4 | +3 | 8 | ||
| 7 | 4 | +3 | 7 | ||
| 8 | 4 | +2 | 7 | ||
| 9 | 5 | 0 | 7 | ||
| 10 | 4 | +1 | 6 | ||
| 11 | 4 | 0 | 6 | ||
| 12 | 4 | -2 | 6 | ||
| 13 | 5 | -3 | 4 | ||
| 14 | 5 | -3 | 4 | ||
| 15 | 5 | -4 | 4 | ||
| 16 | 4 | -6 | 3 | ||
| 17 | 5 | -3 | 2 | ||
| 18 | 4 | -4 | 1 | ||
| 19 | 4 | -6 | 1 | ||
| 20 | 5 | -9 | 0 |
| Position | Team | Played | Won | Drawn | Lost | Goals For | Goals Against | Goal Difference | Points | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AS Roma | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 3 | 11 | 13 | |
| 2 | Inter | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 13 | |
| 3 | Lazio | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 13 | |
| 4 | Cagliari | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 12 | |
| 5 | Como | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 10 | |
| 6 | AC Milan | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 8 | |
| 7 | Frosinone | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 7 | |
| 8 | Juventus | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 7 | |
| 9 | Sassuolo | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 7 | |
| 10 | Napoli | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 6 | |
| 11 | Atalanta | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 6 | |
| 12 | Lecce | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 6 | |
| 13 | Udinese | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 4 | |
| 14 | Torino | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 4 | |
| 15 | Monza | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 4 | |
| 16 | Fiorentina | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 3 | |
| 17 | Bologna | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 2 | |
| 18 | Parma | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 1 | |
| 19 | Genoa | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 1 | |
| 20 | Venezia | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 13 | -9 | 0 |