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Atletico-MG vs Fluminense Prediction - 12 September 2026

Serie ABrazilFull time
Atletico-MG
3-1
Fluminense

Our pick:Under 3.5 goals

75%Odds 1.25Lost

Correct score1-1Alternative1-0

Bookmaker odds

Home2.12price falling, opened at 2.23
Draw3.26price rising, opened at 3.24
Away3.62price rising, opened at 3.36
More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.39price rising, opened at 1.33
Under 1.52.98price rising, opened at 2.83
Over 2.52.27price rising, opened at 2.21
Under 2.51.63price falling, opened at 1.66
Over 3.54.02price rising, opened at 3.94
Under 3.51.25price rising, opened at 1.18
Both teams to score
Yes1.98price rising, opened at 1.87
No1.82price falling, opened at 1.83
Odd/Even
Odd1.93price rising, opened at 1.87
Even1.82price rising, opened at 1.81
Handicap
Home -0.251.80price falling, opened at 1.90
Away +0.252.00price rising, opened at 1.90

What is the prediction for Atletico-MG vs Fluminense?

Our correct score is 1-1, then 1-0. Atletico-MG are in better form heading into this match.

Methodology

Why this prediction

  • Atletico-MG and Fluminense average 2.8 goals a match between them, against a line of 3.5.

More tips for this game

  • Goals: Under 2.5Lost1.68
  • Correct score: 1-1Lost6.00
  • Correct score: 1-0Lost6.00
Compare bookmakers

Premium

After full time

Top five correct scores

  1. 1-112.6%Our score
  2. 1-011.3%Alternative
  3. 0-19.0%
  4. 2-18.8%
  5. 0-08.1%

Top five combined: 49.8%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeAtletico-MGxG1.40
AwayFluminensexG1.12
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
8.1%
11%
7.9%
3.7%
1.3%
0.4%
0.1%
1
9.0%
13%
8.8%
4.1%
1.4%
0.4%
0.1%
2
5.0%
7.0%
4.9%
2.3%
0.8%
0.2%
<0.1%
3
1.9%
2.6%
1.8%
0.9%
0.3%
<0.1%
<0.1%
4
0.5%
0.7%
0.5%
0.2%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
5
0.1%
0.2%
0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
6+
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%

Goals and BTTS chances

Both teams to score Yes 50.6%49.4% No
Over 1.5 71.6%28.4% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 46.0%54.0% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 24.6%75.4% Under 3.5

Combos

Combos

Atletico-MG win and over 2.5 goals24.2%
Atletico-MG win and both teams score18.7%
Fluminense win and over 2.5 goals15.9%
Draw and under 2.5 goals20.7%
Outcome markets
Atletico-MG or draw70.0%
Fluminense or draw56.6%
Either team wins73.4%
Draw no bet: Atletico-MG59.1%
Draw no bet: Fluminense40.9%
Atletico-MG win to nil24.7%
Fluminense win to nil16.6%
Team goals
Atletico-MG to score75.3%
Fluminense to score67.2%
Atletico-MG over 1.5 goals40.8%
Fluminense over 1.5 goals30.7%
Atletico-MG clean sheet32.8%
Fluminense clean sheet24.7%

Today's acca

1 games, total odds 1.35Won

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Formations

Expected formations

Atletico-MG: 4-2-3-1(predicted)Fluminense: 4-2-3-1(predicted)
Head to Head

Head to Head

Atletico-MG vs Fluminense: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
21 March 2026Fluminense1 - 0Atletico-MG
4 October 2025Fluminense3 - 0Atletico-MG
11 May 2025Atletico-MG3 - 2Fluminense
League Table

League Table

Serie ABrazil · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
12717645322+3157
22716834721+2656
32713774131+1046
427121054233+946
52712964135+645
62712693939042
7218672730-330
72711793632+440
82710894140+138
928108103739-238
1026106103229+336
112898114145-435
122797113130+134
132796122739-1233
142788112829-132
152888123342-932
162787123041-1131
1728611113035-529
182777133038-828
192858153247-1523
202739152953-2418
202017121941-2210
Relegation
Serie A - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Flamengo27176453223157DDWWL
2Palmeiras27168347212656WLWWW
3Atletico Paranaense27137741311046DWWWW
4Bahia27121054233946DDDWW
5Fluminense2712964135645DDDDL
6Cruzeiro FC2712693939042
7Cruzeiro218672730-330WLWDW
7Atletico-MG2711793632440WDWLW
8Santos2710894140138DLWLL
9Coritiba28108103739-238LDLLW
10RB Bragantino26106103229336DDWWW
11Botafogo2898114145-435WDWLD
12Sao Paulo2797113130134DLLDL
13Vitoria2796122739-1233LLDWL
14Corinthians2788112829-132DDWWW
15Mirassol2888123342-932WDWLW
16Vasco DA Gama2787123041-1131DLLLL
17Internacional28611113035-529DLLLL
18Gremio2777133038-828DLLWD
19Remo2858153247-1523LWLWL
20Chapecoense-sc2739152953-2418
20Chapecoense B2017121941-2210