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Coritiba vs Atletico Paranaense Prediction - 12 September 2026

Serie ABrazilFull time
Coritiba
3-3
Atletico Paranaense

Our pick:Under 3.5 goals

76%Odds 1.22Lost

Correct score1-1Alternative0-1

Bookmaker odds

Home3.20price rising, opened at 3.02
Draw3.02price falling, opened at 3.10
Away2.44price falling, opened at 2.50
More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.39price rising, opened at 1.38
Under 1.52.98price rising, opened at 2.64
Over 2.52.32price rising, opened at 2.29
Under 2.51.61price falling, opened at 1.63
Over 3.54.34price rising, opened at 3.96
Under 3.51.22price rising, opened at 1.18
Both teams to score
Yes1.89price falling, opened at 1.90
No1.92price rising, opened at 1.80
Odd/Even
Odd2.02price rising, opened at 1.88
Even1.74price falling, opened at 1.80
Handicap
Home +0.251.73price rising, opened at 1.68
Away -0.252.10price rising, opened at 2.01

What is the prediction for Coritiba vs Atletico Paranaense?

Our correct score is 1-1, then 0-1. Atletico Paranaense are in better form heading into this match.

Methodology

Match analysis

Three of the last four meetings between Coritiba and Atletico Paranaense have finished 1-0 or 0-0, and that pattern backs Superior's Under 3.5 pick for the Parana derby on 12 September, priced at 1.22 and read at 76 percent. Both sides' own scoring rates sit close to the line rather than clear of it.

Three of the last four derbies have finished 1-0 or 0-0

Coritiba have won two of the last four meetings 1-0 and drawn another 0-0, with only a 2-0 loss breaking the pattern of tight scorelines in this rivalry. Both teams' own averages sit close to the 3.5 line rather than clear of it, 1.8 goals a game for Coritiba and 2.0 for Atletico Paranaense, and derbies tend to play tighter than the raw numbers suggest.

Atletico Paranaense have found ten goals on the road

The counterweight is Atletico Paranaense's attack, which has found ten goals across its last five matches including a 3-2 win on the road. This loses if the sides combine for four goals or more, and an away side scoring at that rate is the clearest route past a home defence that has also shipped seven in the same span.

Written by the Superior Football Desk

More tips for this game

  • Goals: Under 2.5Lost1.64
  • Correct score: 1-1Lost6.00
Compare bookmakers

Premium

After full time

Top five correct scores

  1. 1-112.9%Our score
  2. 0-110.5%Alternative
  3. 1-010.3%
  4. 0-08.4%
  5. 1-28.0%

Top five combined: 50.1%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeCoritibaxG1.23
AwayAtletico ParanaensexG1.25
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
8.4%
10%
6.3%
2.6%
0.8%
0.2%
<0.1%
1
10%
13%
7.9%
3.2%
1.0%
0.2%
<0.1%
2
6.5%
8.0%
4.9%
2.0%
0.6%
0.2%
<0.1%
3
2.7%
3.3%
2.1%
0.8%
0.3%
<0.1%
<0.1%
4
0.9%
1.0%
0.6%
0.3%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
5
0.2%
0.3%
0.2%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
6+
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%

Goals and BTTS chances

Both teams to score Yes 50.5%49.5% No
Over 1.5 70.8%29.2% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 45.1%54.9% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 23.8%76.2% Under 3.5

Combos

Combos

Coritiba win and over 2.5 goals19.3%
Coritiba win and both teams score15.7%
Atletico Paranaense win and over 2.5 goals19.9%
Draw and under 2.5 goals21.3%
Outcome markets
Coritiba or draw63.1%
Atletico Paranaense or draw64.0%
Either team wins72.9%
Draw no bet: Coritiba49.4%
Draw no bet: Atletico Paranaense50.6%
Coritiba win to nil20.3%
Atletico Paranaense win to nil20.9%
Team goals
Coritiba to score70.8%
Atletico Paranaense to score71.3%
Coritiba over 1.5 goals34.8%
Atletico Paranaense over 1.5 goals35.5%
Coritiba clean sheet28.7%
Atletico Paranaense clean sheet29.2%

Today's acca

1 games, total odds 1.35Won

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Formations

Confirmed formations

Coritiba: 4-2-3-1(confirmed lineup)Atletico Paranaense: 3-4-2-1(confirmed lineup)
Prediction, preview and head to head: Coritiba vs Atletico Paranaense
Head to Head

Head to Head

Atletico Paranaense
2 - 0
Coritiba
22 March 2026
Atletico Paranaense
0 - 1
Coritiba
17 January 2026
Coritiba
0 - 0
Atletico Paranaense
19 October 2025
Atletico Paranaense
0 - 1
Coritiba
28 June 2025
Coritiba vs Atletico Paranaense: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
22 March 2026Atletico Paranaense2 - 0Coritiba
17 January 2026Atletico Paranaense0 - 1Coritiba
19 October 2025Coritiba0 - 0Atletico Paranaense
28 June 2025Atletico Paranaense0 - 1Coritiba
League Table

League Table

Serie ABrazil · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Flamengo
2717645322+3157
2
Palmeiras
2716834721+2656
3
Atletico Paranaense
2713774131+1046
4
Bahia
27121054233+946
5
Fluminense
2712964135+645
6
Cruzeiro FC
2712693939042
7
Cruzeiro
218672730-330
7
Atletico-MG
2711793632+440
8
Santos
2710894140+138
9
Coritiba
28108103739-238
10
RB Bragantino
26106103229+336
11
Botafogo
2898114145-435
12
Sao Paulo
2797113130+134
13
Vitoria
2796122739-1233
14
Corinthians
2788112829-132
15
Mirassol
2888123342-932
16
Vasco DA Gama
2787123041-1131
17
Internacional
28611113035-529
18
Gremio
2777133038-828
19
Remo
2858153247-1523
20
Chapecoense-sc
2739152953-2418
20
Chapecoense B
2017121941-2210
Relegation
Serie A - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Flamengo27176453223157DDWWL
2Palmeiras27168347212656WLWWW
3Atletico Paranaense27137741311046DWWWW
4Bahia27121054233946DDDWW
5Fluminense2712964135645DDDDL
6Cruzeiro FC2712693939042
7Cruzeiro218672730-330WLWDW
7Atletico-MG2711793632440WDWLW
8Santos2710894140138DLWLL
9Coritiba28108103739-238LDLLW
10RB Bragantino26106103229336DDWWW
11Botafogo2898114145-435WDWLD
12Sao Paulo2797113130134DLLDL
13Vitoria2796122739-1233LLDWL
14Corinthians2788112829-132DDWWW
15Mirassol2888123342-932WDWLW
16Vasco DA Gama2787123041-1131DLLLL
17Internacional28611113035-529DLLLL
18Gremio2777133038-828DLLWD
19Remo2858153247-1523LWLWL
20Chapecoense-sc2739152953-2418
20Chapecoense B2017121941-2210