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Nacional vs Alverca Prediction - 12 September 2026

Primeira LigaPortugalFull time
Nacional
1-3
Alverca

Our pick:Under 3.5 goals

74%Odds 1.31Lost

Correct score1-1Alternative1-0

Bookmaker odds

Home2.66price rising, opened at 2.64
Draw3.28
Away2.69price falling, opened at 2.71
More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.29price rising, opened at 1.28
Under 1.53.05price falling, opened at 3.08
Over 2.52.03price rising, opened at 2.02
Under 2.51.78price falling, opened at 1.79
Over 3.53.30
Under 3.51.25
Both teams to score
Yes1.75price rising, opened at 1.74
No1.97price falling, opened at 1.98
Odd/Even
Odd1.87
Even1.81
Handicap
Home +01.90price rising, opened at 1.88
Away +01.90price falling, opened at 1.92

What is the prediction for Nacional vs Alverca?

Our correct score is 1-1, then 1-0. Alverca are in better form heading into this match.

Methodology

Match highlights

Premium

Why this prediction

  • Nacional and Alverca average 2.0 goals a match between them, against a line of 3.5.

More tips for this game

  • Goals: Under 2.5Lost1.83
  • Correct score: 1-1Lost5.85
Compare bookmakers

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After full time

Top five correct scores

  1. 1-112.6%Our score
  2. 1-010.0%Alternative
  3. 0-19.6%
  4. 2-18.3%
  5. 1-28.0%

Top five combined: 48.5%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeNacionalxG1.31
AwayAlvercaxG1.26
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
7.6%
10.0%
6.5%
2.9%
0.9%
0.2%
<0.1%
1
9.6%
13%
8.3%
3.6%
1.2%
0.3%
<0.1%
2
6.1%
8.0%
5.2%
2.3%
0.7%
0.2%
<0.1%
3
2.6%
3.4%
2.2%
1.0%
0.3%
<0.1%
<0.1%
4
0.8%
1.1%
0.7%
0.3%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
5
0.2%
0.3%
0.2%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
6+
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%

Goals and BTTS chances

Both teams to score Yes 52.4%47.6% No
Over 1.5 72.8%27.2% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 47.6%52.4% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 25.9%74.1% Under 3.5

Combos

Combos

Nacional win and over 2.5 goals21.3%
Nacional win and both teams score17.2%
Alverca win and over 2.5 goals19.9%
Draw and under 2.5 goals20.2%
Outcome markets
Nacional or draw64.4%
Alverca or draw62.2%
Either team wins73.5%
Draw no bet: Nacional51.5%
Draw no bet: Alverca48.5%
Nacional win to nil20.6%
Alverca win to nil19.3%
Team goals
Nacional to score73.1%
Alverca to score71.8%
Nacional over 1.5 goals37.7%
Alverca over 1.5 goals36.1%
Nacional clean sheet28.2%
Alverca clean sheet26.9%

Premium

  • Match highlights
  • Top five correct scores
  • Goals and BTTS chances
  • Combos
  • Custom Acca Builder

Today's acca

1 games, total odds 1.35

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Formations

Expected formations

Alverca: 4-3-3(predicted)
Prediction, preview and head to head: Nacional vs Alverca
Head to Head

Head to Head

Nacional vs Alverca: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
18 April 2026Nacional1 - 0Alverca
7 December 2025Alverca1 - 0Nacional
League Table

League Table

Primeira LigaPortugal · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
16600152+1318
26510214+1716
37430178+915
46420114+714
57322107+311
662401412+210
7531175+210
862225508
9622279-28
107223911-28
117223812-48
12714297+27
136213713-67
14611447-34
157115715-84
167115515-104
17602428-62
186015115-141
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Primeira Liga - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1FC Porto66001521318
2Benfica65102141716
3Sporting CP7430178915
4Santa Clara6420114714
5Arouca7322107311
6Estrela62401412210
7SC Braga531175210
8GIL Vicente62225508
9Academico Viseu622279-28
10Alverca7223911-28
11Maritimo7223812-48
12Famalicao71429727
13Moreirense6213713-67
14Guimaraes611447-34
15Nacional7115715-84
16Rio Ave7115515-104
17Estoril602428-62
18Casa Pia6015115-141