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Real Sociedad vs Atletico Madrid Prediction - 13 September 2026

La LigaSpainFull time
Real Sociedad
0-3
Atletico Madrid

Our pick:Over 1.5 goals

79%Odds 1.24Won

Correct score1-1Alternative1-2

Bookmaker odds

Home3.60price rising, opened at 2.91
Draw3.62price rising, opened at 3.54
Away2.00price falling, opened at 2.34
More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.22price rising, opened at 1.18
Under 1.54.30price rising, opened at 4.20
Over 2.51.76price rising, opened at 1.70
Under 2.52.06price falling, opened at 2.15
Over 3.52.81price rising, opened at 2.61
Under 3.51.44price rising, opened at 1.42
Both teams to score
Yes1.57price rising, opened at 1.54
No2.41price rising, opened at 2.35
Odd/Even
Odd1.93price rising, opened at 1.88
Even1.82
Handicap
Home +0.252.12price rising, opened at 1.76
Away -0.251.73price falling, opened at 1.97

What is the prediction for Real Sociedad vs Atletico Madrid?

Our correct score is 1-1, then 1-2. Atletico Madrid are in better form heading into this match.

Methodology

Match highlights

Premium

Match analysis

Real Sociedad and Atletico Madrid have finished with at least two goals in each of their last three meetings. Superior leans on that record for its Over 1.5 goals pick at 1.24 for their 13 September meeting, rated 68 percent.

The last three meetings have all gone well past this line

Real Sociedad and Atletico Madrid have produced 5, 2 and 4 goals in their last three meetings respectively, a run that has comfortably cleared 1.5 every time regardless of which side came out on top. Atletico are averaging 1.6 goals a game themselves, with a 3-1 win at Sevilla and a 2-2 draw at home to Villarreal inside their last five, giving them a scoring floor that alone often gets this line home even in a tighter match.

Real Sociedad have just played out a 0-0

The real risk to this bet is recent, not historical. Real Sociedad's last home match finished goalless against Celta Vigo on 3 September, proof this side can be shut out in front of its own crowd. Atletico also travel four days removed from a Champions League away trip, and if both of those factors combine into a cautious, low-event night, 0-0 or a single-goal margin is enough to beat the total.

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After full time

Top five correct scores

  1. 1-111.6%Our score
  2. 1-29.2%Alternative
  3. 2-18.4%
  4. 0-18.1%
  5. 1-07.5%

Top five combined: 44.8%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeReal SociedadxG1.40
AwayAtletico MadridxG1.52
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
5.4%
7.5%
5.1%
2.7%
1.0%
0.3%
<0.1%
1
8.1%
12%
8.4%
3.8%
1.2%
0.4%
0.1%
2
6.1%
9.2%
6.2%
2.8%
1.0%
0.3%
<0.1%
3
3.2%
4.1%
3.1%
1.4%
0.5%
0.1%
<0.1%
4
1.2%
1.5%
1.1%
0.5%
0.2%
<0.1%
<0.1%
5
0.4%
0.4%
0.3%
0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
6+
0.1%
0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%

Goals and BTTS chances

Both teams to score Yes 58.9%41.1% No
Over 1.5 79.0%21.0% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 56.2%43.8% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 32.7%67.3% Under 3.5

Combos

Combos

Real Sociedad win and over 2.5 goals22.9%
Real Sociedad win and both teams score18.8%
Atletico Madrid win and over 2.5 goals25.5%
Draw and under 2.5 goals17.0%
Outcome markets
Real Sociedad or draw60.3%
Atletico Madrid or draw64.5%
Either team wins75.2%
Draw no bet: Real Sociedad47.2%
Draw no bet: Atletico Madrid52.8%
Real Sociedad win to nil16.7%
Atletico Madrid win to nil19.0%
Team goals
Real Sociedad to score75.6%
Atletico Madrid to score77.9%
Real Sociedad over 1.5 goals41.1%
Atletico Madrid over 1.5 goals44.2%
Real Sociedad clean sheet22.1%
Atletico Madrid clean sheet24.4%

Premium

  • Match highlights
  • Top five correct scores
  • Goals and BTTS chances
  • Combos
  • Custom Acca Builder

Today's acca

1 games, total odds 1.35

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Formations

Expected formations

Atletico Madrid: 4-4-2(predicted)
Prediction, preview and head to head: Real Sociedad vs Atletico Madrid
Head to Head

Head to Head

Real Sociedad vs Atletico Madrid: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
7 March 2026Atletico Madrid3 - 2Real Sociedad
4 January 2026Real Sociedad1 - 1Atletico Madrid
10 May 2025Atletico Madrid4 - 0Real Sociedad
League Table

League Table

La LigaSpain · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
17700317+2421
26501176+1115
3650186+215
46411146+813
57412109+113
67322116+511
7623197+29
8622276+18
972231116-58
107223613-78
11714286+27
127214101007
136213611-57
1472141121-107
1561231011-15
16512279-25
17612337-45
1871241117-65
196114210-84
206033311-83
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
La Liga - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Barcelona77003172421
2Real Madrid65011761115
3Real Betis650186215
4Atletico Madrid6411146813
5Sevilla7412109113
6Alaves7322116511
7Deportivo La Coruna62319729
8Athletic Club62227618
9Rayo Vallecano72231116-58
10Osasuna7223613-78
11Celta Vigo71428627
12Espanyol7214101007
13Real Sociedad6213611-57
14Racing Santander72141121-107
15Villarreal61231011-15
16Levante512279-25
17Getafe612337-45
18Elche71241117-65
19Valencia6114210-84
20Malaga6033311-83