Middlesbrough vs Millwall Prediction - 15 September 2026
Our pick:Under 3.5 goals
78%Odds 1.33Lost
Correct score1-0Alternative1-1
What is the prediction for Middlesbrough vs Millwall?
Our correct score is 1-0, then 1-1. Middlesbrough are in better form heading into this match.
Match highlights
PremiumMatch analysis
Middlesbrough have lost two and won one of their last three meetings with Millwall, and every one of those games has finished with three goals or fewer between them. Superior backs that pattern to hold again on 15 September, pricing Under 3.5 goals at 1.33, a 61 percent read on a fixture that has rarely produced an open game.
None of the last three meetings has reached four goals
The last three meetings between Middlesbrough and Millwall have produced totals of three, three and one goal, with Middlesbrough winning one 3-0 and losing the other two by a single goal apiece. That is a fixture that keeps finding the same range regardless of who wins it. Middlesbrough's own form has been streaky, three wins and two defeats in their last five, but at home recently their scoring has stayed controlled rather than expansive.
Millwall have been in a 4-0 win and a 1-5 defeat this run
Under 3.5 loses if this reaches four goals combined, and Millwall have shown that capacity at both ends recently: a 4-0 win in one match and a 1-5 defeat in another already this season, either type of scoreline enough to beat this line if it repeats. Middlesbrough have already reached four goals combined in two of their own last five matches too. Those extremes remain the outliers rather than the norm for both sides, though, which is why the tighter head-to-head history stays the more probable script here.
Premium
After full time
Top five correct scores
- 1-012.3%Our score
- 1-113.1%Alternative
- 2-19.6%
- 0-18.8%
- 0-08.7%
Top five combined: 52.5%
Full score grid
Score Matrix
Goals and BTTS chances
Combos
Combos
Outcome markets
Team goals
Today's acca
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Formations
Expected formations
Head to Head
Head to Head
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 April 2026 | Middlesbrough | 1 - 2 | Millwall |
| 16 August 2025 | Millwall | 0 - 3 | Middlesbrough |
| 12 April 2025 | Millwall | 1 - 0 | Middlesbrough |
League Table
League Table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | +7 | 17 | ||
| 2 | 8 | +11 | 15 | ||
| 3 | 8 | +4 | 15 | ||
| 4 | 7 | +3 | 14 | ||
| 5 | 8 | +3 | 13 | ||
| 6 | 8 | +1 | 13 | ||
| 7 | 8 | -1 | 13 | ||
| 8 | 8 | -3 | 12 | ||
| 9 | 6 | +4 | 11 | ||
| 10 | 8 | +1 | 11 | ||
| 11 | 8 | 0 | 11 | ||
| 12 | 8 | -1 | 11 | ||
| 13 | 8 | +9 | 10 | ||
| 14 | 8 | -3 | 10 | ||
| 15 | 7 | 0 | 9 | ||
| 16 | 8 | 0 | 9 | ||
| 17 | 8 | -2 | 9 | ||
| 18 | 7 | -1 | 8 | ||
| 19 | 8 | -3 | 8 | ||
| 20 | 8 | -2 | 7 | ||
| 21 | 7 | -5 | 7 | ||
| 22 | 8 | -7 | 5 | ||
| 23 | 8 | -7 | 4 | ||
| 24 | 8 | -8 | 4 |
| Position | Team | Played | Won | Drawn | Lost | Goals For | Goals Against | Goal Difference | Points | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swansea | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 17 | |
| 2 | West Ham | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 15 | |
| 3 | Middlesbrough | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 15 | |
| 4 | West Brom | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 14 | |
| 5 | QPR | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 13 | |
| 6 | Stoke City | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 13 | |
| 7 | Bristol City | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 13 | |
| 8 | Charlton | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 12 | |
| 9 | Wolves | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 11 | |
| 10 | Birmingham | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 11 | |
| 11 | Millwall | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 11 | |
| 12 | Lincoln | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 11 | |
| 13 | Southampton | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 10 | |
| 14 | Wrexham | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 10 | |
| 15 | Norwich | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 9 | |
| 16 | Blackburn | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 9 | |
| 17 | Sheffield United | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 9 | |
| 18 | Portsmouth | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 8 | |
| 19 | Watford | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 8 | |
| 20 | Cardiff | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 7 | |
| 21 | Bolton | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 7 | |
| 22 | Derby | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 14 | -7 | 5 | |
| 23 | Preston | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 4 | |
| 24 | Burnley | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 4 |