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Vasco DA Gama vs Santa Fe Prediction - 15 September 2026

CONMEBOL SudamericanaWorldFull time
Vasco DA Gama
2-0
Santa Fe

Our pick:Under 3.5 goals

84%Odds 1.32Won

Correct score1-0Alternative1-1

Bookmaker odds

Home1.39price falling, opened at 1.49
Draw4.75price rising, opened at 4.12
Away8.10price rising, opened at 7.20
More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.27price falling, opened at 1.32
Under 1.53.70price rising, opened at 2.89
Over 2.51.87price falling, opened at 2.16
Under 2.51.93price rising, opened at 1.70
Over 3.53.36price falling, opened at 3.82
Under 3.51.32price rising, opened at 1.19
Both teams to score
Yes2.20price falling, opened at 2.26
No1.67price rising, opened at 1.57
Odd/Even
Odd1.90price rising, opened at 1.84
Even1.90price rising, opened at 1.84
Handicap
Home -1.251.87
Away +1.251.93

What is the prediction for Vasco DA Gama vs Santa Fe?

Our correct score is 1-0, then 1-1. Vasco DA Gama are in better form heading into this match.

Methodology

Match highlights

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Match analysis

Santa Fe arrive at this Sudamericana second leg on 15 September with zero rest days and six matches packed into the last fortnight, while Vasco da Gama have had three days to prepare for a tie that finished 0-0 a week ago. Superior backs Under 3.5 goals again at 1.32, a 69 percent read, built on a Colombian side that has drawn four of its last five matches outright.

Santa Fe have played six matches in the last two weeks

This is the return leg of a tie that finished goalless in Bogota seven days ago, and the schedule since has hit one side much harder than the other. Santa Fe have gone straight from that first leg into a run of six matches in fourteen days with no rest between fixtures, while Vasco have had three clear days to recover. Four of Santa Fe's last five outings have finished as draws, three of them 0-0 or 1-1, and that kind of scoreless pattern is exactly what keeps a match under the total rather than pushing it over.

Vasco have scored three or more goals in one of their last five

Under 3.5 loses only if the sides combine for four goals or more, and Vasco carry that scoring burst somewhere in their recent form: a 3-1 win sits in their last five games, the only match in that stretch to reach four goals combined. Santa Fe conceded two in a draw of their own not long ago too, so neither side is entirely allergic to an open game. That 3-1 result is the outlier rather than the pattern, though, with the other four Vasco matches settling at two goals or fewer between both sides, which is why the tighter total remains the more likely script for a second leg with this much riding on it.

Written by the Superior Football Desk

More tips for this game

  • Correct score: 1-0Lost5.50
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After full time

Top five correct scores

  1. 1-016.3%Our score
  2. 1-112.5%Alternative
  3. 0-012.2%
  4. 2-010.5%
  5. 0-18.9%

Top five combined: 60.4%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeVasco DA GamaxG1.36
AwaySanta FexG0.57
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
12%
16%
10%
4.7%
1.5%
0.4%
0.1%
1
8.9%
13%
8.5%
3.3%
1.0%
0.3%
<0.1%
2
3.9%
5.0%
3.5%
1.4%
0.4%
0.1%
<0.1%
3
1.2%
1.4%
1.0%
0.4%
0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
4
0.3%
0.3%
0.2%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
5
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
6+
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%

Goals and BTTS chances

Both teams to score Yes 40.1%59.9% No
Over 1.5 62.6%37.4% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 35.8%64.2% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 16.4%83.6% Under 3.5

Combos

Combos

Vasco DA Gama win and over 2.5 goals22.0%
Vasco DA Gama win and both teams score15.3%
Santa Fe win and over 2.5 goals9.8%
Draw and under 2.5 goals24.7%
Outcome markets
Vasco DA Gama or draw77.4%
Santa Fe or draw51.2%
Either team wins71.4%
Draw no bet: Vasco DA Gama68.4%
Draw no bet: Santa Fe31.6%
Vasco DA Gama win to nil33.5%
Santa Fe win to nil14.3%
Team goals
Vasco DA Gama to score73.5%
Santa Fe to score54.3%
Vasco DA Gama over 1.5 goals37.9%
Santa Fe over 1.5 goals19.7%
Vasco DA Gama clean sheet45.7%
Santa Fe clean sheet26.5%

Premium

  • Match highlights
  • Top five correct scores
  • Goals and BTTS chances
  • Combos
  • Custom Acca Builder

Today's acca

1 games, total odds 1.35

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Formations

Expected formations

Vasco DA Gama: 4-2-3-1(predicted)
Prediction, preview and head to head: Vasco DA Gama vs Santa Fe
Head to Head

Head to Head

Santa Fe
0 - 0
Vasco DA Gama
8 September 2026
Vasco DA Gama vs Santa Fe: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
8 September 2026Santa Fe0 - 0Vasco DA Gama