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Anderlecht vs Lyon Prediction - 16 September 2026

UEFA Europa LeagueWorldFull time
Anderlecht
1-2
Lyon

Our pick:Under 3.5 goals

71%Odds 1.50Won

Correct score1-1Alternative1-0

Bookmaker odds

Home3.02price falling, opened at 3.50
Draw3.59price falling, opened at 3.70
Away2.26price rising, opened at 2.01
More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.20price rising, opened at 1.17
Under 1.54.58price rising, opened at 4.35
Over 2.51.66price rising, opened at 1.65
Under 2.52.22price falling, opened at 2.25
Over 3.52.65price rising, opened at 2.50
Under 3.51.48price rising, opened at 1.46
Both teams to score
Yes1.59price rising, opened at 1.55
No2.37price rising, opened at 2.32
Odd/Even
Odd1.96price rising, opened at 1.87
Even1.84price rising, opened at 1.83
Handicap
Home +0.251.82price falling, opened at 2.04
Away -0.251.98price rising, opened at 1.71

What is the prediction for Anderlecht vs Lyon?

Our correct score is 1-1, then 1-0. Lyon are in better form heading into this match.

Methodology

Match analysis

Three clean sheets from Anderlecht's last five matches back Superior's Under 3.5 goals pick, priced at 1.5 and rated 71 percent, for the home meeting with Lyon on 16 September. A combined scoring rate of just 2.4 goals a game between these two sides supports the same read.

Three clean sheets in five for the home side

Anderlecht have not conceded in three of their last five matches, including a 3-0 win and a 1-0 win either side of a scoreless draw, and Lyon's away form has produced only one match with more than two total goals, a 3-1 win on the road. Both teams' combined average of 2.4 goals a game sits well clear of the 3.5 line, and neither side's recent sample includes a result that would have threatened it on its own.

A 0-3 defeat is Anderlecht's outlier this run

Anderlecht's single defeat in this run was a 0-3 scoreline, three goals conceded in one match alone, and Lyon's 3-1 away win shows the attack capable of matching that output elsewhere. If Anderlecht's defence has an off night the way it did in that 0-3, and Lyon's better attacking day turns up in Belgium, four goals arrives without needing a genuine goal fest from either side.

More tips for this game

  • Goals: Under 2.5Lost2.30
Compare bookmakers

Premium

After full time

Top five correct scores

  1. 1-112.2%Our score
  2. 1-09.4%Alternative
  3. 2-18.6%
  4. 0-18.4%
  5. 1-27.8%

Top five combined: 46.4%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeAnderlechtxG1.25
AwayLyonxG1.57
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
6.8%
9.4%
6.3%
3.0%
1.0%
0.4%
<0.1%
1
8.4%
12%
8.6%
3.7%
1.2%
0.4%
<0.1%
2
5.9%
7.8%
5.5%
2.5%
0.7%
0.2%
<0.1%
3
2.8%
3.6%
2.5%
1.1%
0.4%
<0.1%
<0.1%
4
1.0%
1.3%
0.8%
0.4%
0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
5
0.3%
0.4%
0.2%
0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
6+
0.1%
0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%

Goals and BTTS chances

Both teams to score Yes 54.5%45.5% No
Over 1.5 75.5%24.5% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 51.1%48.9% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 28.8%71.2% Under 3.5

Combos

Combos

Anderlecht win and over 2.5 goals22.5%
Anderlecht win and both teams score18.0%
Lyon win and over 2.5 goals21.8%
Draw and under 2.5 goals19.0%
Outcome markets
Anderlecht or draw63.9%
Lyon or draw61.8%
Either team wins74.3%
Draw no bet: Anderlecht51.4%
Draw no bet: Lyon48.6%
Anderlecht win to nil20.2%
Lyon win to nil18.6%
Team goals
Anderlecht to score74.7%
Lyon to score73.0%
Anderlecht over 1.5 goals39.8%
Lyon over 1.5 goals38.5%
Anderlecht clean sheet27.0%
Lyon clean sheet25.3%

Today's acca

1 games, total odds 1.35

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Prediction, preview and head to head: Anderlecht vs Lyon