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Coventry vs Aston Villa Prediction - 16 September 2026

League CupEnglandFull time
Coventry
1-3
Aston Villa

Our pick:Over 1.5 goals

79%Odds 1.22Won

Correct score1-1Alternative2-1

Bookmaker odds

Home3.75price rising, opened at 3.06
Draw3.52price falling, opened at 3.56
Away1.99price falling, opened at 2.25
More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.21price rising, opened at 1.17
Under 1.54.48price rising, opened at 4.30
Over 2.51.68price rising, opened at 1.66
Under 2.52.19price falling, opened at 2.23
Over 3.52.62price rising, opened at 2.53
Under 3.51.49price rising, opened at 1.45
Both teams to score
Yes1.51price falling, opened at 1.53
No2.55price rising, opened at 2.37
Odd/Even
Odd1.96price rising, opened at 1.88
Even1.84price rising, opened at 1.82
Handicap
Home +0.252.08price rising, opened at 1.84
Away -0.251.74price falling, opened at 1.88

What is the prediction for Coventry vs Aston Villa?

Our correct score is 1-1, then 2-1. Aston Villa are in better form heading into this match.

Methodology

Match highlights

Premium

Match analysis

Attack ratings above 7.0 for both sides, Coventry at 7.7 and Aston Villa at 7.0, sit behind Superior's Over 1.5 goals pick, priced at 1.22 and rated 65 percent, for their League Cup tie on 16 September. Neither side's defence rating clears 6.6, a full point below the attacking numbers.

Two attack ratings above 7.0 facing defences a point lower

Coventry's attack rating of 7.7 and Aston Villa's 7.0 both sit clear of either side's own defence rating, 6.5 and 6.6, a gap that has shown up in three of Coventry's last five matches producing three goals or more, including a 4-2 win. Aston Villa have been part of a five-goal match themselves this sample, a 3-2 win, even with a scoreless draw sitting elsewhere in their recent run.

A goalless draw already sits in Aston Villa's sample

Aston Villa's goalless draw in this sample, and Coventry's own pair of 0-1 defeats, show both sides are capable of going through a match without troubling the scoresheet much at all. If Coventry's finishing repeats one of those blank performances and Aston Villa defend the way they did in that 0-0, one goal or fewer is enough to beat this pick, even with both attack ratings running well above their own defences.

Written by the Superior Football Desk

Premium

After full time

Top five correct scores

  1. 1-18.8%Our score
  2. 2-19.2%Alternative
  3. 1-29.1%
  4. 1-08.4%
  5. 0-18.3%

Top five combined: 43.8%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeCoventryxG1.45
AwayAston VillaxG1.60
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
3.9%
8.4%
6.3%
3.3%
1.4%
0.5%
0.2%
1
8.3%
8.8%
9.2%
4.6%
1.5%
0.5%
0.2%
2
5.8%
9.1%
4.8%
3.1%
1.2%
0.3%
<0.1%
3
3.0%
4.1%
3.1%
1.2%
0.5%
0.2%
<0.1%
4
1.2%
1.5%
1.0%
0.5%
0.2%
<0.1%
<0.1%
5
0.4%
0.4%
0.3%
0.2%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
6+
0.1%
0.2%
0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%

Goals and BTTS chances

Both teams to score Yes 57.2%42.8% No
Over 1.5 79.4%20.6% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 58.5%41.5% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 33.9%66.1% Under 3.5

Combos

Combos

Coventry win and over 2.5 goals27.0%
Coventry win and both teams score21.6%
Aston Villa win and over 2.5 goals25.4%
Draw and under 2.5 goals12.7%
Outcome markets
Coventry or draw60.5%
Aston Villa or draw58.3%
Either team wins81.1%
Draw no bet: Coventry51.3%
Draw no bet: Aston Villa48.7%
Coventry win to nil20.1%
Aston Villa win to nil18.8%
Team goals
Coventry to score77.3%
Aston Villa to score76.1%
Coventry over 1.5 goals44.8%
Aston Villa over 1.5 goals42.9%
Coventry clean sheet23.9%
Aston Villa clean sheet22.7%

Premium

  • Match highlights
  • Top five correct scores
  • Goals and BTTS chances
  • Combos
  • Custom Acca Builder

Today's acca

1 games, total odds 1.35

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Prediction, preview and head to head: Coventry vs Aston Villa