Skip to picks

Malaga vs Villarreal Prediction - 17 September 2026

La LigaSpainFull time
Malaga
1-3
Villarreal

Our pick:Over 1.5 goals

78%Odds 1.22Won

Correct score1-1Alternative1-2

Bookmaker odds

Home3.50price rising, opened at 3.36
Draw3.60price falling, opened at 3.72
Away2.04price falling, opened at 2.05
More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.17price falling, opened at 1.18
Under 1.54.30price rising, opened at 4.20
Over 2.51.64price falling, opened at 1.66
Under 2.52.26price rising, opened at 2.23
Over 3.52.43price falling, opened at 2.51
Under 3.51.48price rising, opened at 1.45
Both teams to score
Yes1.53price falling, opened at 1.55
No2.37price rising, opened at 2.32
Odd/Even
Odd1.89price rising, opened at 1.86
Even1.81price falling, opened at 1.84
Handicap
Home +0.252.02price rising, opened at 1.99
Away -0.251.74price falling, opened at 1.75

What is the prediction for Malaga vs Villarreal?

Our correct score is 1-1, then 1-2. Villarreal are in better form heading into this match.

Methodology

Match analysis

Villarreal have scored in every one of their last five matches, and that consistency in front of goal is why Superior backs Over 1.5 goals on their trip to Malaga on 17 September, priced at 1.22 and rated 69 percent. Malaga's own attack has managed just 0.4 goals a game, so this pick leans almost entirely on the visitors rather than a shootout from the home side.

Villarreal have found the net in five straight games

Villarreal's last five have produced goals every time, including two 2-3 defeats where their own attack still delivered, and their away form has not gone quiet even in losses. Malaga have managed only one goal across three of their last five matches, so this pick is built on the visitors reaching 1.5 on their own rather than needing a home goal too.

Malaga did keep a clean sheet in their one draw

Malaga's 0-0 draw this run shows their defense can hold for a full match when it needs to, and Villarreal have twice failed to win despite scoring, drawing 2-2 in back to back games. If Malaga's containment shows up rather than the leakier version that shipped four, and Villarreal's finishing goes to waste again, the total stalls below 1.5.

More tips for this game

  • Correct score: 1-1Lost6.50
Compare bookmakers

Premium

After full time

Top five correct scores

  1. 1-111.7%Our score
  2. 1-29.5%Alternative
  3. 0-18.9%
  4. 2-17.6%
  5. 1-07.2%

Top five combined: 44.9%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeMalagaxG1.25
AwayVillarrealxG1.57
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
5.9%
7.2%
4.7%
2.0%
0.8%
0.3%
<0.1%
1
8.9%
12%
7.6%
3.2%
1.1%
0.3%
<0.1%
2
6.8%
9.5%
6.3%
2.6%
0.8%
0.2%
<0.1%
3
3.6%
4.4%
3.0%
1.4%
0.4%
0.1%
<0.1%
4
1.4%
1.7%
1.1%
0.5%
0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
5
0.5%
0.5%
0.3%
0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
6+
0.2%
0.2%
0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%

Goals and BTTS chances

Both teams to score Yes 57.7%42.3% No
Over 1.5 78.0%22.0% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 54.8%45.2% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 32.0%68.0% Under 3.5

Combos

Combos

Malaga win and over 2.5 goals19.7%
Malaga win and both teams score16.6%
Villarreal win and over 2.5 goals27.2%
Draw and under 2.5 goals17.6%
Outcome markets
Malaga or draw57.1%
Villarreal or draw68.3%
Either team wins74.6%
Draw no bet: Malaga42.4%
Draw no bet: Villarreal57.6%
Malaga win to nil15.1%
Villarreal win to nil21.3%
Team goals
Malaga to score72.8%
Villarreal to score79.0%
Malaga over 1.5 goals37.5%
Villarreal over 1.5 goals46.1%
Malaga clean sheet21.0%
Villarreal clean sheet27.2%

Today's acca

1 games, total odds 1.35

Get the daily pick and the morning ticket on Telegram.

Join on Telegram
Prediction, preview and head to head: Malaga vs Villarreal
League Table

League Table

La LigaSpain · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
17700317+2421
26501176+1115
3650186+215
46411146+813
57412109+113
67322116+511
7623197+29
8622276+18
972231116-58
107223613-78
11714286+27
127214101007
136213611-57
1472141121-107
1561231011-15
16512279-25
17612337-45
1871241117-65
196114210-84
206033311-83
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
La Liga - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Barcelona77003172421
2Real Madrid65011761115
3Real Betis650186215
4Atletico Madrid6411146813
5Sevilla7412109113
6Alaves7322116511
7Deportivo La Coruna62319729
8Athletic Club62227618
9Rayo Vallecano72231116-58
10Osasuna7223613-78
11Celta Vigo71428627
12Espanyol7214101007
13Real Sociedad6213611-57
14Racing Santander72141121-107
15Villarreal61231011-15
16Levante512279-25
17Getafe612337-45
18Elche71241117-65
19Valencia6114210-84
20Malaga6033311-83