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Real Sociedad vs Bournemouth Prediction - 17 September 2026

UEFA Europa LeagueWorldFull time
Real Sociedad
1-2
Bournemouth

Our pick:Over 1.5 goals

79%Odds 1.25Won

Correct score1-1Alternative1-2

Bookmaker odds

Home3.50price rising, opened at 2.77
Draw3.60price rising, opened at 3.48
Away2.03price falling, opened at 2.46
More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.17price falling, opened at 1.19
Under 1.54.60price rising, opened at 4.10
Over 2.51.63price falling, opened at 1.74
Under 2.52.27price rising, opened at 2.10
Over 3.52.47price falling, opened at 2.70
Under 3.51.49price rising, opened at 1.40
Both teams to score
Yes1.52price falling, opened at 1.57
No2.40price rising, opened at 2.28
Odd/Even
Odd1.90price rising, opened at 1.88
Even1.80price falling, opened at 1.82
Handicap
Home +0.252.03
Away -0.251.75

What is the prediction for Real Sociedad vs Bournemouth?

Our correct score is 1-1, then 1-2. Bournemouth are in better form heading into this match.

Methodology

Match analysis

Real Sociedad have been on the wrong end of a 0-3 and a 1-4 scoreline in their last five home-relevant matches, a defense leaky enough that Superior backs Over 1.5 goals against Bournemouth in the Europa League on 17 September, priced at 1.25 and rated 67 percent. Bournemouth have scored in four of their own last five, adding a travelling threat to an already exposed home defense.

Sociedad have conceded three or more twice in this run

Real Sociedad's last five includes a 0-3 defeat and a 1-4 defeat, either one enough on its own to clear 1.5 goals without their own attack doing anything. Bournemouth have found the net in four of their own last five, including a 4-0 win, so the visitors bring a scoring threat of their own into a match where the home defense has already shown it can be opened up.

Both sides have also played out a 0-0 and a goalless half elsewhere

Sociedad's one clean sheet this run, a 0-0 draw, shows their defense can hold when it needs to, and Bournemouth have drawn twice by an identical scoreline in the same stretch. If either side's contained version shows up instead of the leakier one, the total stays below 1.5 and the pick loses.

Written by the Superior Football Desk

Premium

After full time

Top five correct scores

  1. 1-111.3%Our score
  2. 1-28.6%Alternative
  3. 2-18.5%
  4. 0-17.8%
  5. 1-07.4%

Top five combined: 43.6%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeReal SociedadxG1.40
AwayBournemouthxG1.54
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
5.5%
7.4%
5.2%
2.7%
1.0%
0.3%
<0.1%
1
7.8%
11%
8.5%
3.9%
1.3%
0.4%
0.1%
2
5.8%
8.6%
6.4%
2.9%
1.0%
0.3%
<0.1%
3
3.2%
4.2%
3.1%
1.5%
0.5%
0.1%
<0.1%
4
1.2%
1.5%
1.1%
0.5%
0.2%
<0.1%
<0.1%
5
0.4%
0.5%
0.3%
0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
6+
0.1%
0.2%
0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%

Goals and BTTS chances

Both teams to score Yes 59.2%40.8% No
Over 1.5 79.3%20.7% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 56.9%43.1% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 33.9%66.1% Under 3.5

Combos

Combos

Real Sociedad win and over 2.5 goals23.5%
Real Sociedad win and both teams score19.3%
Bournemouth win and over 2.5 goals25.3%
Draw and under 2.5 goals16.8%
Outcome markets
Real Sociedad or draw61.1%
Bournemouth or draw63.9%
Either team wins75.0%
Draw no bet: Real Sociedad48.2%
Draw no bet: Bournemouth51.8%
Real Sociedad win to nil16.8%
Bournemouth win to nil18.5%
Team goals
Real Sociedad to score76.0%
Bournemouth to score77.7%
Real Sociedad over 1.5 goals42.3%
Bournemouth over 1.5 goals44.3%
Real Sociedad clean sheet22.3%
Bournemouth clean sheet24.0%

Today's acca

1 games, total odds 1.35

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Formations

Expected formations

Bournemouth: 4-4-2(predicted)
Prediction, preview and head to head: Real Sociedad vs Bournemouth
Head to Head

Head to Head

Bournemouth
1 - 1
Real Sociedad
9 August 2025
Real Sociedad vs Bournemouth: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
9 August 2025Bournemouth1 - 1Real Sociedad

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