Groningen vs PEC Zwolle Prediction - 18 September 2026
Our pick:Under 3.5 goals
59%Odds 1.72Won
Correct score2-1Alternative1-1
What is the prediction for Groningen vs PEC Zwolle?
Our correct score is 2-1, then 1-1. Groningen are in better form heading into this match.
Match analysis
A combined 3.2 goals a game is what Groningen and PEC Zwolle are producing this season, and Superior backs that gap to keep Under 3.5 goals alive at 1.72 when they meet on 18 September, priced at 59 percent. Both sides have also played much higher-scoring matches recently, so the total is closer than the price alone suggests.
Groningen and PEC Zwolle average 3.2 combined goals a game
That season-long rate, built from each side's measured scoring and conceding strength, sits under the 3.5 line Superior has backed here, with a 1.72 price that needs about 58 percent to break even against the model's own 59 percent read. Groningen have scored 2.0 goals a game themselves, while PEC Zwolle's 1.2 is the more modest of the two, and it is PEC Zwolle's attack rather than Groningen's defense that keeps the season total under the line.
Seven goals in one game is what broke PEC Zwolle open last time
That result alone would have blown past this line on its own, and four of Groningen's last five matches have produced five or more combined goals too. If either defense repeats one of those recent blowouts instead of the calmer matches mixed in between, this Under fails, and it is PEC Zwolle's defense, shipping fifteen goals in their last five matches, that carries the bigger share of that risk.
Premium
After full time
Top five correct scores
- 2-19.9%Our score
- 1-19.3%Alternative
- 1-08.4%
- 2-08.2%
- 3-16.6%
Top five combined: 42.4%
Full score grid
Score Matrix
Goals and BTTS chances
Combos
Combos
Outcome markets
Team goals
Today's acca
1 games, total odds 1.35Get the daily pick and the morning ticket on Telegram.
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Expected formations
Head to Head
Head to Head
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 March 2026 | PEC Zwolle | 1 - 1 | Groningen |
| 23 November 2025 | Groningen | 2 - 2 | PEC Zwolle |
| 18 May 2025 | PEC Zwolle | 2 - 0 | Groningen |
League Table
League Table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | +15 | 16 | ||
| 2 | 6 | +11 | 16 | ||
| 3 | 6 | +13 | 14 | ||
| 4 | 7 | +12 | 14 | ||
| 5 | 6 | +7 | 13 | ||
| 6 | 7 | -1 | 13 | ||
| 7 | 7 | +6 | 11 | ||
| 8 | 7 | +2 | 11 | ||
| 9 | 6 | +2 | 9 | ||
| 10 | 7 | +2 | 9 | ||
| 11 | 6 | -1 | 7 | ||
| 12 | 6 | -6 | 5 | ||
| 13 | 7 | -7 | 5 | ||
| 14 | 6 | -8 | 5 | ||
| 15 | 7 | -9 | 5 | ||
| 16 | 7 | -14 | 4 | ||
| 17 | 7 | -10 | 2 | ||
| 18 | 7 | -14 | 2 |
| Position | Team | Played | Won | Drawn | Lost | Goals For | Goals Against | Goal Difference | Points | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSV Eindhoven | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 7 | 15 | 16 | |
| 2 | AZ Alkmaar | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 16 | |
| 3 | Feyenoord | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 20 | 7 | 13 | 14 | |
| 4 | Ajax | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 9 | 12 | 14 | |
| 5 | Twente | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 13 | |
| 6 | Fortuna Sittard | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 13 | |
| 7 | Excelsior | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 11 | |
| 8 | Groningen | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 11 | |
| 9 | GO Ahead Eagles | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 9 | |
| 10 | Heerenveen | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 9 | |
| 11 | NEC Nijmegen | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 7 | |
| 12 | Telstar | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 5 | |
| 13 | Sparta Rotterdam | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 5 | |
| 14 | Utrecht | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 5 | |
| 15 | Cambuur | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 5 | |
| 16 | PEC Zwolle | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 20 | -14 | 4 | |
| 17 | ADO Den Haag | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 2 | |
| 18 | Willem II | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 20 | -14 | 2 |