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Monza vs Sassuolo Prediction - 18 September 2026

Serie AItalyFull time
Monza
2-1
Sassuolo

Our pick:Over 1.5 goals

76%Odds 1.30Won

Correct score1-1Alternative2-1

Bookmaker odds

Home2.82price rising, opened at 2.78
Draw3.32price falling, opened at 3.34
Away2.52price falling, opened at 2.54
More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.22price falling, opened at 1.26
Under 1.54.30price rising, opened at 3.44
Over 2.51.76price falling, opened at 1.91
Under 2.52.06price rising, opened at 1.89
Over 3.52.62price falling, opened at 3.16
Under 3.51.49price rising, opened at 1.30
Both teams to score
Yes1.52price falling, opened at 1.68
No2.52price rising, opened at 2.08
Odd/Even
Odd1.93price rising, opened at 1.89
Even1.82price rising, opened at 1.81
Handicap
Home +02.05price rising, opened at 1.99
Away +01.77price falling, opened at 1.82

What is the prediction for Monza vs Sassuolo?

Our correct score is 1-1, then 2-1. Sassuolo are in better form heading into this match.

Methodology

Match analysis

Four of Monza's last five matches have produced three or more total goals, and that scoring pattern underpins Superior's Over 1.5 goals pick against Sassuolo at 1.30 on 18 September. The model prices the total at 76 percent, with Sassuolo having scored in every one of their own last five games too.

Four of Monza's last five matches passed three total goals

Only one of those five, a 1-0 win, stayed under the two-goal mark this line needs, and Monza have conceded eleven goals in that run on top of scoring seven themselves. Sassuolo have scored in all five of their last matches, including three with two or more goals of their own, which backs the total from both ends rather than relying on just one leaky defense.

Monza's only win this run was built on defense, not goals

That result shows Monza are capable of the low-scoring, controlled performance this line needs to fail, especially if Sassuolo's away form, a win and a loss in their last two road trips, produces a similarly cautious game. If both defenses have a rare good night at the same time, the total stalls below 1.5 despite the scoring form both sides carry into this fixture.

More tips for this game

  • Correct score: 1-1Lost5.70
Compare bookmakers

Premium

After full time

Top five correct scores

  1. 1-112.5%Our score
  2. 1-09.1%
  3. 2-18.9%Alternative
  4. 0-18.3%
  5. 1-28.1%

Top five combined: 46.9%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeMonzaxG1.32
AwaySassuoloxG1.34
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
6.9%
9.1%
6.4%
3.0%
1.0%
0.4%
<0.1%
1
8.3%
12%
8.9%
4.0%
1.3%
0.4%
0.1%
2
5.2%
8.1%
6.0%
2.6%
0.9%
0.3%
<0.1%
3
2.5%
3.2%
2.4%
1.3%
0.4%
0.1%
<0.1%
4
0.8%
1.1%
0.8%
0.4%
0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
5
0.3%
0.3%
0.2%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
6+
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%

Goals and BTTS chances

Both teams to score Yes 55.8%44.2% No
Over 1.5 75.6%24.4% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 51.5%48.5% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 29.0%71.0% Under 3.5

Combos

Combos

Monza win and over 2.5 goals23.7%
Monza win and both teams score19.2%
Sassuolo win and over 2.5 goals20.4%
Draw and under 2.5 goals19.4%
Outcome markets
Monza or draw66.0%
Sassuolo or draw60.7%
Either team wins73.2%
Draw no bet: Monza53.6%
Draw no bet: Sassuolo46.4%
Monza win to nil20.0%
Sassuolo win to nil17.2%
Team goals
Monza to score75.8%
Sassuolo to score73.0%
Monza over 1.5 goals41.6%
Sassuolo over 1.5 goals37.5%
Monza clean sheet27.0%
Sassuolo clean sheet24.2%

Today's acca

1 games, total odds 1.35

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Prediction, preview and head to head: Monza vs Sassuolo
League Table

League Table

Serie AItaly · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
15410143+1113
25410158+713
3541083+513
4540152+312
5431094+510
6422074+38
7421174+37
8421164+27
952129907
10420265+16
1142025506
12420257-26
135113811-34
14511358-34
155113812-44
164103511-63
17502336-32
18401326-41
19401328-61
205005413-90
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Serie A - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1AS Roma54101431113
2Inter5410158713
3Lazio541083513
4Cagliari540152312
5Como431094510
6AC Milan42207438
7Frosinone42117437
8Juventus42116427
9Sassuolo52129907
10Napoli42026516
11Atalanta42025506
12Lecce420257-26
13Udinese5113811-34
14Torino511358-34
15Monza5113812-44
16Fiorentina4103511-63
17Bologna502336-32
18Parma401326-41
19Genoa401328-61
20Venezia5005413-90