Skip to picks
Offers

New York City FC vs New York Red Bulls Prediction - 18 September 2026

Major League SoccerUSAFull time
New York City FC
0-1
New York Red Bulls

Our pick:Under 3.5 goals

69%Odds 1.83Won

Correct score1-0Alternative1-1

Bookmaker odds

Home1.90price rising, opened at 1.79
Draw3.88price falling, opened at 4.08
Away3.70price falling, opened at 3.98
More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.12price rising, opened at 1.10
Under 1.54.75price falling, opened at 5.10
Over 2.51.47price rising, opened at 1.41
Under 2.52.35price falling, opened at 2.52
Over 3.52.29price rising, opened at 2.15
Under 3.51.63price falling, opened at 1.70
Both teams to score
Yes1.47price rising, opened at 1.44
No2.50price falling, opened at 2.58
Odd/Even
Odd1.86price rising, opened at 1.85
Even1.82price falling, opened at 1.83
Handicap
Home -0.752.02price rising, opened at 1.89
Away +0.751.66price falling, opened at 1.76

What is the prediction for New York City FC vs New York Red Bulls?

Our correct score is 1-0, then 1-1. New York Red Bulls are in better form heading into this match.

Methodology

Match highlights

Premium

Match analysis

NYCFC have won three of the last four Hudson River Derby meetings with the Red Bulls, including two on the road, and that history anchors Superior's 1-0 projection for 18 September. A 1-1 draw is the alternate, with neither side scoring heavily enough this season to make a wider margin likely.

NYCFC have won three of the last four derby meetings

Those wins have come by 3-1 and 3-2 scorelines on the road and a 2-0 result at home, with the fourth meeting a 1-1 draw, giving NYCFC the clear recent edge in this fixture regardless of venue. Both teams are scoring modestly this season, NYCFC at 1.0 goals a game and Red Bulls at 0.6, and NYCFC's own form, one win and three draws in their last five without a loss since, backs a narrow scoreline over a shootout.

One defeat in five is not much of a dent for the Red Bulls

That single defeat, 1-3 at home, is not representative of a side that has otherwise drawn twice and won once while conceding just six goals across the run. If Red Bulls' own defensive discipline holds in a fixture they know well, the head-to-head history matters less than a scoreless or single-goal draw, which is exactly what Superior's own 1-1 alternate already allows for.

Written by the Superior Football Desk

Premium

After full time

Top five correct scores

  1. 1-011.2%Our score
  2. 1-110.9%Alternative
  3. 2-110.2%
  4. 2-09.6%
  5. 0-06.2%

Top five combined: 48.1%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeNew York City FCxG1.80
AwayNew York Red BullsxG0.97
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
6.2%
11%
9.6%
6.1%
2.9%
1.1%
0.4%
1
5.9%
11%
10%
5.8%
2.6%
0.9%
0.4%
2
2.8%
5.5%
4.7%
3.2%
1.3%
0.5%
0.2%
3
1.0%
1.7%
1.6%
1.0%
0.4%
0.1%
<0.1%
4
0.3%
0.5%
0.4%
0.3%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
5
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
6+
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%

Goals and BTTS chances

Both teams to score Yes 52.6%47.4% No
Over 1.5 76.8%23.2% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 53.5%46.5% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 30.8%69.2% Under 3.5

Combos

Combos

New York City FC win and over 2.5 goals36.3%
New York City FC win and both teams score25.8%
New York Red Bulls win and over 2.5 goals11.4%
Draw and under 2.5 goals17.1%
Outcome markets
New York City FC or draw79.9%
New York Red Bulls or draw43.0%
Either team wins77.1%
Draw no bet: New York City FC73.9%
Draw no bet: New York Red Bulls26.1%
New York City FC win to nil31.2%
New York Red Bulls win to nil10.0%
Team goals
New York City FC to score83.8%
New York Red Bulls to score62.7%
New York City FC over 1.5 goals54.0%
New York Red Bulls over 1.5 goals25.8%
New York City FC clean sheet37.3%
New York Red Bulls clean sheet16.2%

Premium

  • Match highlights
  • Top five correct scores
  • Goals and BTTS chances
  • Combos
  • Custom Acca Builder

Today's acca

1 games, total odds 1.35Won

Get the daily pick and the morning ticket on Telegram.

Join on Telegram
Formations

Expected formations

New York City FC: 4-3-3(predicted)
Prediction, preview and head to head: New York City FC vs New York Red Bulls
Head to Head

Head to Head

New York Red Bulls
1 - 1
New York City FC
16 May 2026
New York Red Bulls
1 - 3
New York City FC
29 April 2026
New York Red Bulls
2 - 3
New York City FC
27 September 2025
New York City FC
2 - 0
New York Red Bulls
17 May 2025
New York City FC vs New York Red Bulls: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
16 May 2026New York Red Bulls1 - 1New York City FC
29 April 2026New York Red Bulls1 - 3New York City FC
27 September 2025New York Red Bulls2 - 3New York City FC
17 May 2025New York City FC2 - 0New York Red Bulls
League Table

League Table

Major League SoccerUSA · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Vancouver Whitecaps
2515465623+3349
1
Nashville SC
2617635321+3257
2
Inter Miami
26121046348+1546
2
St. Louis City
2612864536+944
3
FC Dallas
2612864942+744
3
New England Revolution
2614484533+1246
4
Houston Dynamo
2613583430+444
4
Charlotte
2712874737+1044
5
San Jose Earthquakes
2612684638+842
5
Chicago Fire
2611784538+740
6
Philadelphia Union
27116105242+1039
6
Los Angeles FC
2711884329+1441
7
Colorado Rapids
26113123635+136
7
FC Cincinnati
2681085461-734
8
Orlando City SC
27104134662-1634
8
Los Angeles Galaxy
2789103442-833
9
New York City FC
2789104035+533
9
Portland Timbers
2695124748-132
10
Seattle Sounders
258893033-332
10
New York Red Bulls
2696113448-1433
11
DC United
2561183139-829
11
San Diego
2687114444031
12
Toronto FC
2661193949-1029
12
Austin
2679103244-1230
13
Atlanta United FC
2776143144-1327
13
Minnesota United FC
2678113946-729
14
Real Salt Lake
2685133744-729
14
Columbus Crew
2675143742-526
15
Sporting Kansas City
2553172963-3418
15
CF Montreal
2757153153-2222
Major League Soccer - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Vancouver Whitecaps25154656233349DDLWL
1Nashville SC26176353213257DLWWW
2Inter Miami261210463481546DWWWW
2St. Louis City2612864536944DWWWW
3FC Dallas2612864942744DLDWW
3New England Revolution26144845331246DWDLW
4Houston Dynamo2613583430444WWDDW
4Charlotte27128747371044LWDWW
5San Jose Earthquakes2612684638842LDLWL
5Chicago Fire2611784538740WLLWW
6Philadelphia Union271161052421039WWWLD
6Los Angeles FC27118843291441DWWWW
7Colorado Rapids26113123635136WLWLL
7FC Cincinnati2681085461-734WLWWD
8Orlando City SC27104134662-1634LWWLD
8Los Angeles Galaxy2789103442-833DDLLD
9New York City FC2789104035533DWWLD
9Portland Timbers2695124748-132WWDWL
10Seattle Sounders258893033-332LLLLL
10New York Red Bulls2696113448-1433WLLWD
11DC United2561183139-829DWDDD
11San Diego2687114444031DWLLD
12Toronto FC2661193949-1029DLDDL
12Austin2679103244-1230LLWLL
13Atlanta United FC2776143144-1327LLDLL
13Minnesota United FC2678113946-729DDLDL
14Real Salt Lake2685133744-729DLLDW
14Columbus Crew2675143742-526DWLWD
15Sporting Kansas City2553172963-3418LLWLL
15CF Montreal2757153153-2222DLLDD

From our blog

Should You Wait for the Team News Before You Bet?

Confirmed lineups land 75 minutes before kickoff, and the market prices them the moment you can read them.

Bet Builder Tips: When a Shorter Quote Is the Wrong Quote

Bet builder tips for Sunday: Manchester City to win with under 3.5 goals multiplies to 2.12, and a shorter builder quote is the wrong quote.

Visit our blog