Guimaraes vs Moreirense Prediction - 20 September 2026
Our pick:Under 3.5 goals
72%Odds 1.34Won
Correct score1-0Alternative1-1
What is the prediction for Guimaraes vs Moreirense?
Our correct score is 1-0, then 1-1. Moreirense are in better form heading into this match.
Match highlights
PremiumMatch analysis
Neither Guimaraes nor Moreirense averages a goal a game this season, and that scarcity is why Superior's model keeps its 20 September projection tight at 1-0, with 1-1 next in line. Guimaraes' own home matches have produced just one goal in two of their last three.
Both sides average under a goal a game
Guimaraes are averaging 0.8 goals scored a game and Moreirense 1.0, a combined rate that points toward a low-scoring finish, and Guimaraes' last three home matches have produced a 0-0, a 1-0 and a loss in which they scored only once. Moreirense have shipped four goals twice in their last five, against Benfica and Arouca, but haven't been prolific themselves outside those blowout defeats, scoring more than once in only one of their last five.
Moreirense have won two of the last three meetings
Guimaraes won the reverse fixture 1-0 in January, the shape Superior's model repeats here, but Moreirense have won two of the last three meetings between these sides, including a 2-0 win in August last year. If Moreirense's occasional finishing edge from that game resurfaces, the 1-1 alternative is a realistic outcome rather than a home win to nil.
More tips for this game
- Correct score: 1-1
- Correct score: 1-0
Premium
After full time
Top five correct scores
- 1-013.1%Our score
- 1-111.3%Alternative
- 2-011.0%
- 2-110.3%
- 0-07.4%
Top five combined: 53.1%
Full score grid
Score Matrix
Goals and BTTS chances
Combos
Combos
Outcome markets
Team goals
Today's acca
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Formations
Expected formations
Head to Head
Head to Head
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 January 2026 | Guimaraes | 1 - 0 | Moreirense |
| 23 August 2025 | Moreirense | 2 - 0 | Guimaraes |
| 30 March 2025 | Moreirense | 2 - 2 | Guimaraes |
League Table
League Table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | +13 | 18 | ||
| 2 | 6 | +17 | 16 | ||
| 3 | 7 | +9 | 15 | ||
| 4 | 6 | +7 | 14 | ||
| 5 | 7 | +3 | 11 | ||
| 6 | 6 | +2 | 10 | ||
| 7 | 5 | +2 | 10 | ||
| 8 | 6 | 0 | 8 | ||
| 9 | 6 | -2 | 8 | ||
| 10 | 7 | -2 | 8 | ||
| 11 | 7 | -4 | 8 | ||
| 12 | 7 | +2 | 7 | ||
| 13 | 6 | -6 | 7 | ||
| 14 | 6 | -3 | 4 | ||
| 15 | 7 | -8 | 4 | ||
| 16 | 7 | -10 | 4 | ||
| 17 | 6 | -6 | 2 | ||
| 18 | 6 | -14 | 1 |
| Position | Team | Played | Won | Drawn | Lost | Goals For | Goals Against | Goal Difference | Points | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 2 | 13 | 18 | |
| 2 | Benfica | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 4 | 17 | 16 | |
| 3 | Sporting CP | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 15 | |
| 4 | Santa Clara | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 14 | |
| 5 | Arouca | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 11 | |
| 6 | Estrela | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 10 | |
| 7 | SC Braga | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 10 | |
| 8 | GIL Vicente | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 8 | |
| 9 | Academico Viseu | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 8 | |
| 10 | Alverca | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 | |
| 11 | Maritimo | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 8 | |
| 12 | Famalicao | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 7 | |
| 13 | Moreirense | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 7 | |
| 14 | Guimaraes | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 4 | |
| 15 | Nacional | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 4 | |
| 16 | Rio Ave | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 15 | -10 | 4 | |
| 17 | Estoril | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 2 | |
| 18 | Casa Pia | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 15 | -14 | 1 |