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Cuiaba vs Nautico Recife Prediction - 22 September 2026

Serie BBrazilFull time
Cuiaba
3-0
Nautico Recife

Our pick:Under 3.5 goals

77%Odds 1.25Won

Correct score1-0Alternative1-1

Bookmaker odds

Home1.98price falling, opened at 2.03
Draw3.36price rising, opened at 3.13
Away3.76price rising, opened at 3.75
More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.42price rising, opened at 1.35
Under 1.52.75price rising, opened at 2.74
Over 2.52.31price rising, opened at 2.21
Under 2.51.57price falling, opened at 1.61
Over 3.54.23price rising, opened at 3.98
Under 3.51.20price rising, opened at 1.17
Both teams to score
Yes2.02price rising, opened at 1.93
No1.74price falling, opened at 1.78
Odd/Even
Odd1.87price falling, opened at 1.90
Even1.87price rising, opened at 1.80
Handicap
Home -0.251.74price rising, opened at 1.71
Away +0.252.10price rising, opened at 2.02

What is the prediction for Cuiaba vs Nautico Recife?

Our correct score is 1-0, then 1-1. Cuiaba are in better form heading into this match.

Methodology

Match highlights

Premium

Match analysis

Superior's model backs Under 3.5 goals at 1.25 for Cuiaba vs Nautico Recife on 22 September, rating the total at 77 percent to stay below the line in Brazil's Serie B. Both sides carry modest scoring rates, Cuiaba averaging 1.4 goals a game and Nautico Recife 1.6, a combined rate that sits comfortably under the threshold.

Neither side is scoring at a pace that threatens four goals

Cuiaba have managed 1.4 goals a game and sit mid table in 11th on 40 points with 10 matches left, already safe from the drop. Nautico Recife, in 14th on 38 points with the same 10 games to go, are fighting for nothing in particular either. With both average scoring rates combining to 3.0 and both clubs playing out a season with little riding on it, the model's 3.5 goals line has real room to spare.

Nautico Recife's defence cracked open last week

Nautico Recife's very last match produced six goals on its own, a 3-3 home draw with Operario-PR, and that total is what tests this line's nerve. Cuiaba have also been breached this month, conceding twice in a 2-0 loss at Criciuma. Two shaky defensive performances inside the past three weeks are the reason this sits at 77 percent and not something firmer.

Written by the Superior Football Desk

More tips for this game

  • Correct score: 1-0Lost6.00
  • Correct score: 1-1Lost6.00
Compare bookmakers

Premium

After full time

Top five correct scores

  1. 1-013.9%Our score
  2. 1-113.7%Alternative
  3. 0-010.8%
  4. 0-19.6%
  5. 2-19.2%

Top five combined: 57.2%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeCuiabaxG1.29
AwayNautico RecifexG0.93
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
11%
14%
8.9%
3.6%
1.1%
0.3%
<0.1%
1
9.6%
14%
9.2%
3.5%
1.0%
0.3%
<0.1%
2
4.5%
6.2%
4.2%
1.8%
0.5%
0.1%
<0.1%
3
1.4%
1.8%
1.2%
0.5%
0.2%
<0.1%
<0.1%
4
0.3%
0.4%
0.3%
0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
5
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
6+
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%

Goals and BTTS chances

Both teams to score Yes 45.5%54.5% No
Over 1.5 65.8%34.2% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 38.7%61.3% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 18.2%81.8% Under 3.5

Combos

Combos

Cuiaba win and over 2.5 goals22.0%
Cuiaba win and both teams score16.8%
Nautico Recife win and over 2.5 goals12.0%
Draw and under 2.5 goals24.5%
Outcome markets
Cuiaba or draw74.0%
Nautico Recife or draw55.3%
Either team wins70.8%
Draw no bet: Cuiaba63.2%
Draw no bet: Nautico Recife36.8%
Cuiaba win to nil27.9%
Nautico Recife win to nil15.8%
Team goals
Cuiaba to score73.4%
Nautico Recife to score61.3%
Cuiaba over 1.5 goals37.3%
Nautico Recife over 1.5 goals23.9%
Cuiaba clean sheet38.7%
Nautico Recife clean sheet26.6%

Premium

  • Match highlights
  • Top five correct scores
  • Goals and BTTS chances
  • Combos
  • Custom Acca Builder

Today's acca

1 games, total odds 1.35Won

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Prediction, preview and head to head: Cuiaba vs Nautico Recife
Head to Head

Head to Head

Nautico Recife
1 - 0
Cuiaba
22 May 2026
Cuiaba vs Nautico Recife: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
22 May 2026Nautico Recife1 - 0Cuiaba
League Table

League Table

Serie BBrazil · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Vila Nova
3016684331+1254
2
Novorizontino
3014974927+2251
3
Fortaleza EC
2914963324+951
4
Juventude
2914873119+1250
5
Atletico Goianiense
30131073727+1049
6
Operario-PR
3013984338+548
7
Criciuma
2913882827+147
8
CRB
29136104241+145
9
Sport Recife
30111184032+844
10
Cuiaba
29101363022+843
11
Goias
30126123036-642
12
São Bernardo
30119104031+942
13
Nautico Recife
30118113837+141
14
Athletic Club
29101183431+341
15
Ceara
3099123339-636
16
Botafogo SP
2988133236-432
17
Avai
2986153038-830
18
Londrina
3077163943-428
19
America Mineiro
2945202149-2817
20
Ponte Preta
2934221762-4513
Relegation
Serie B - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Vila Nova30166843311254LWLLW
2Novorizontino30149749272251WLLLW
3Fortaleza EC2914963324951WLWLW
4Juventude29148731191250WLWWD
5Atletico Goianiense301310737271049WWDWL
6Operario-PR3013984338548LWDWW
7Criciuma2913882827147DWWWW
8CRB29136104241145WWWDL
9Sport Recife30111184032844DDDDL
10Cuiaba29101363022843DLLDW
11Goias30126123036-642LDWDW
12São Bernardo30119104031942LLDDL
13Nautico Recife30118113837141DWLLD
14Athletic Club29101183431341DWDDL
15Ceara3099123339-636WLDDL
16Botafogo SP2988133236-432LWDDW
17Avai2986153038-830LWDWL
18Londrina3077163943-428LLDDW
19America Mineiro2945202149-2817WLDDL
20Ponte Preta2934221762-4513DLLLL