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Algeria vs Zambia Prediction - 25 September 2026

Africa Cup of Nations - QualificationWorldFull time
Algeria
3-1
Zambia

Our pick:Over 1.5 goals

73%Odds 1.36Won

Correct score2-0Alternative3-0

Bookmaker odds

Home1.18price falling, opened at 1.33
Draw6.77price rising, opened at 4.50
Away13.00price rising, opened at 9.50
More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.25price falling, opened at 1.31
Under 1.53.75price rising, opened at 2.92
Over 2.51.81price falling, opened at 2.06
Under 2.52.00price rising, opened at 1.70
Over 3.52.97price falling, opened at 3.58
Under 3.51.36price rising, opened at 1.21
Both teams to score
Yes3.22price rising, opened at 2.49
No1.32price falling, opened at 1.48
Odd/Even
Odd1.87price rising, opened at 1.85
Even1.87price rising, opened at 1.85
Handicap
Home -22.03
Away +21.78

What is the prediction for Algeria vs Zambia?

Our correct score is 2-0, then 3-0. Algeria are in better form heading into this match.

Methodology

Match analysis

Zambia are averaging just 0.2 goals a game in this Africa Cup of Nations qualifying campaign, the lowest scoring rate on the whole slate, and Algeria's attack is favoured to punish it on 25 September. Superior backs Over 1.5 goals at 1.36. The model has it at 73 percent.

Zambia's attack has barely scored all campaign

Zambia have failed to score in four of their last five qualifiers, managing only a single goal across that entire run, which puts almost the whole scoring burden on Algeria's own forward line. Algeria have responded to that kind of gap before, winning 4-0 in their last home qualifier, and their 6.1 attack rating sits above a Zambia defence that has also shipped goals in bunches, including a 0-5 defeat.

Algeria have also gone quiet at home

This bet loses only if the match produces fewer than two goals, and Algeria's own record includes a 0-2 home defeat inside this run, proof their attack does not always turn up. If that flat performance repeats against a Zambia side already set up to defend rather than score, the game can finish 1-0 or stay goalless, and that pairing is the one way this pick fails.

More tips for this game

  • Match Winner: HomeWon1.40
  • Correct score: 2-0Lost5.50
Compare bookmakers

Premium

After full time

Top five correct scores

  1. 2-010.5%Our score
  2. 3-09.6%Alternative
  3. 2-18.7%
  4. 3-18.0%
  5. 1-07.6%

Top five combined: 44.4%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeAlgeriaxG2.76
AwayZambiaxG0.83
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
2.7%
7.6%
10%
9.6%
6.7%
3.7%
2.7%
1
2.3%
6.3%
8.7%
8.0%
5.5%
3.1%
2.2%
2
1.0%
2.6%
3.6%
3.4%
2.3%
1.3%
0.9%
3
0.3%
0.7%
1.0%
0.9%
0.6%
0.4%
0.3%
4
<0.1%
0.2%
0.2%
0.2%
0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
5
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
6+
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%

Goals and BTTS chances

Both teams to score Yes 53.0%47.0% No
Over 1.5 87.4%12.6% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 69.7%30.3% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 48.4%51.6% Under 3.5

Combos

Combos

Algeria win and over 2.5 goals59.5%
Algeria win and both teams score36.9%
Zambia win and over 2.5 goals5.4%
Draw and under 2.5 goals9.1%
Outcome markets
Algeria or draw91.4%
Zambia or draw22.4%
Either team wins86.2%
Draw no bet: Algeria90.0%
Draw no bet: Zambia10.0%
Algeria win to nil40.7%
Zambia win to nil3.6%
Team goals
Algeria to score93.7%
Zambia to score56.6%
Algeria over 1.5 goals76.2%
Zambia over 1.5 goals20.4%
Algeria clean sheet43.4%
Zambia clean sheet6.3%

Today's acca

1 games, total odds 1.35

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Formations

Confirmed formations

Algeria: 4-3-3(confirmed lineup)Zambia: 4-4-2(confirmed lineup)
Prediction, preview and head to head: Algeria vs Zambia