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Georgia vs Northern Ireland Prediction - 25 September 2026

UEFA Nations LeagueWorldFull time
Georgia
0-1
Northern Ireland

Our pick:Over 1.5 goals

71%Odds 1.36Lost

Correct score1-1Alternative2-1

Bookmaker odds

Home1.79price falling, opened at 1.89
Draw3.34price falling, opened at 3.54
Away5.05price rising, opened at 4.14
More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.42price rising, opened at 1.28
Under 1.52.89price falling, opened at 3.24
Over 2.52.19price rising, opened at 2.00
Under 2.51.68price falling, opened at 1.81
Over 3.54.06price rising, opened at 3.40
Under 3.51.24price falling, opened at 1.26
Both teams to score
Yes2.06price rising, opened at 1.83
No1.76price falling, opened at 1.89
Odd/Even
Odd1.93price rising, opened at 1.88
Even1.82
Handicap
Home -0.752.01price falling, opened at 2.09
Away +0.751.80price rising, opened at 1.68

What is the prediction for Georgia vs Northern Ireland?

Our correct score is 1-1, then 2-1. Georgia are in better form heading into this match.

Methodology

Match analysis

Georgia shipped four goals in their most recent outing, and that defensive lapse is the clearest signal behind Superior's Over 1.5 goals pick against Northern Ireland in the Nations League on 25 September. The price is 1.36. The model has it at 71 percent.

A defence that has already been opened up once

Georgia's last five results include a 1-4 defeat, and while their other four games were tighter, that single result shows their back line is capable of leaking goals in bunches. Northern Ireland's attack has found the net in three of their last five, including a 2-0 win, and their away form has produced goals in four of five outings.

Georgia's tighter results are also on the record

This bet loses only if the match produces fewer than two goals, and three of Georgia's last five results were single-goal, low-event games, including a 2-0 win of their own. If Northern Ireland sit in and Georgia's attack cannot force an opening the way Georgia's own defence was forced open last time, the game can stay under this line, and that is the scenario the pick has to avoid.

Written by the Superior Football Desk

Premium

After full time

Top five correct scores

  1. 1-19.8%Our score
  2. 2-19.9%Alternative
  3. 1-09.8%
  4. 2-08.9%
  5. 0-16.0%

Top five combined: 44.4%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeGeorgiaxG1.68
AwayNorthern IrelandxG1.10
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
5.1%
9.8%
8.9%
5.4%
2.9%
1.7%
0.6%
1
6.0%
9.8%
9.9%
5.9%
2.7%
1.4%
0.5%
2
3.3%
5.8%
4.6%
3.1%
1.4%
0.6%
0.2%
3
1.4%
2.1%
1.9%
1.0%
0.5%
0.2%
<0.1%
4
0.5%
0.7%
0.5%
0.3%
0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
5
0.2%
0.2%
0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
6+
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%

Goals and BTTS chances

Both teams to score Yes 54.1%45.9% No
Over 1.5 79.1%20.9% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 57.0%43.0% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 34.6%65.4% Under 3.5

Combos

Combos

Georgia win and over 2.5 goals37.2%
Georgia win and both teams score26.6%
Northern Ireland win and over 2.5 goals14.0%
Draw and under 2.5 goals15.0%
Outcome markets
Georgia or draw76.7%
Northern Ireland or draw44.1%
Either team wins79.2%
Draw no bet: Georgia70.6%
Draw no bet: Northern Ireland29.4%
Georgia win to nil29.3%
Northern Ireland win to nil11.4%
Team goals
Georgia to score83.4%
Northern Ireland to score65.5%
Georgia over 1.5 goals55.0%
Northern Ireland over 1.5 goals29.3%
Georgia clean sheet34.5%
Northern Ireland clean sheet16.6%

Today's acca

1 games, total odds 1.35

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Formations

Confirmed formations

Georgia: 4-3-3(confirmed lineup)Northern Ireland: 4-1-4-1(confirmed lineup)
Prediction, preview and head to head: Georgia vs Northern Ireland