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Bulgaria vs Luxembourg Prediction - 26 September 2026

UEFA Nations LeagueWorldFull time
Bulgaria
1-2
Luxembourg

Our pick:Over 1.5 goals

73%Odds 1.45Won

Correct score1-1Alternative2-1

Bookmaker odds

Home2.34price rising, opened at 2.26
Draw2.94price falling, opened at 3.12
Away3.50price rising, opened at 3.44
More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.60price rising, opened at 1.42
Under 1.52.34price falling, opened at 2.61
Over 2.52.82price rising, opened at 2.40
Under 2.51.43price falling, opened at 1.57
Over 3.55.50price rising, opened at 4.40
Under 3.51.10price falling, opened at 1.16
Both teams to score
Yes2.21price rising, opened at 1.99
No1.61price falling, opened at 1.75
Odd/Even
Odd1.92price rising, opened at 1.90
Even1.79price falling, opened at 1.80
Handicap
Home -0.251.95price rising, opened at 1.90
Away +0.251.86price falling, opened at 1.90

What is the prediction for Bulgaria vs Luxembourg?

Our correct score is 1-1, then 2-1. Luxembourg are in better form heading into this match.

Methodology

Why this prediction

  • Bulgaria and Luxembourg average 4.2 goals a match between them, against a line of 1.5.

More tips for this game

  • Correct score: 1-1Lost6.00
Compare bookmakers

Premium

After full time

Top five correct scores

  1. 1-110.7%Our score
  2. 1-09.0%
  3. 0-18.7%
  4. 2-18.2%Alternative
  5. 1-28.1%

Top five combined: 44.7%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeBulgariaxG1.42
AwayLuxembourgxG1.20
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
6.4%
9.0%
6.1%
3.3%
1.4%
0.6%
0.2%
1
8.7%
11%
8.2%
3.8%
1.5%
0.6%
0.2%
2
6.0%
8.1%
5.0%
2.5%
0.9%
0.3%
<0.1%
3
2.9%
3.4%
2.5%
0.9%
0.4%
0.1%
<0.1%
4
1.3%
1.2%
0.8%
0.3%
0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
5
0.9%
0.5%
0.2%
0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
6+
0.2%
0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%

Goals and BTTS chances

Both teams to score Yes 52.9%47.1% No
Over 1.5 75.9%24.1% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 53.0%47.0% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 30.5%69.5% Under 3.5

Combos

Combos

Bulgaria win and over 2.5 goals24.1%
Bulgaria win and both teams score18.6%
Luxembourg win and over 2.5 goals22.8%
Draw and under 2.5 goals17.1%
Outcome markets
Bulgaria or draw62.5%
Luxembourg or draw60.7%
Either team wins76.8%
Draw no bet: Bulgaria51.2%
Draw no bet: Luxembourg48.8%
Bulgaria win to nil20.7%
Luxembourg win to nil20.0%
Team goals
Bulgaria to score73.6%
Luxembourg to score72.9%
Bulgaria over 1.5 goals40.5%
Luxembourg over 1.5 goals39.3%
Bulgaria clean sheet27.1%
Luxembourg clean sheet26.4%

Today's acca

1 games, total odds 1.35

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Formations

Expected formations

Bulgaria: 5-4-1(predicted)
Prediction, preview and head to head: Bulgaria vs Luxembourg