Cruz Azul vs Toluca Prediction - 26 September 2026
Our pick:Over 1.5 goals
74%Odds 1.23Won
Correct score1-1Alternative2-3
What is the prediction for Cruz Azul vs Toluca?
Our correct score is 1-1, then 2-3. Toluca are in better form heading into this match.
Match analysis
Cruz Azul and Toluca have met three times since April 2025, and the 2-2 and 1-1 among them would both have landed Over 1.5 goals, Superior's pick for their meeting on 26 September. At 1.23 the model rates it at 74 percent, driven by a Toluca side with 12 goals in its last five.
Two of the last three meetings reached two goals
The recent meetings finished 2-2 in April 2025, 1-0 to Cruz Azul in August 2025 and 1-1 in February, with Toluca at home for the draws. The model builds its projection from both teams' measured scoring, and both rates are live: Toluca beat Atlas 5-2 and Monterrey 2-0 this month, while Cruz Azul put four past Club America in a 4-3 win and three past Necaxa.
Cruz Azul have failed to score in their last two
Cruz Azul lost 1-0 at Monterrey on 20 September and 2-0 to Inter Miami three days earlier, and the 1-0 in August 2025 is the exact shape that loses this pick. If Cruz Azul stay blank again, a 0-1 Toluca win or a 0-0 is enough to beat it. Toluca did concede three at home to Santos Laguna last time out, which is the counterweight to that worry.
Premium
After full time
Top five correct scores
- 1-111.6%Our score
- 1-29.0%
- 2-18.4%
- 0-17.8%
- 1-07.5%
Top five combined: 44.3%
Full score grid
Score Matrix
Goals and BTTS chances
Combos
Combos
Outcome markets
Team goals
Today's acca
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Formations
Confirmed formations
Head to Head
Head to Head
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 February 2026 | Toluca | 1 - 1 | Cruz Azul |
| 24 August 2025 | Cruz Azul | 1 - 0 | Toluca |
| 20 April 2025 | Toluca | 2 - 2 | Cruz Azul |
League Table
League Table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | +11 | 19 | ||
| 2 | 9 | +9 | 18 | ||
| 3 | 8 | +9 | 17 | ||
| 4 | 10 | -1 | 17 | ||
| 5 | 9 | +1 | 15 | ||
| 6 | 8 | +3 | 14 | ||
| 7 | 9 | +2 | 14 | ||
| 8 | 9 | +1 | 14 | ||
| 9 | 9 | 0 | 14 | ||
| 10 | 9 | +2 | 13 | ||
| 11 | 9 | +5 | 12 | ||
| 12 | 9 | -1 | 12 | ||
| 13 | 10 | -3 | 11 | ||
| 14 | 9 | -5 | 9 | ||
| 15 | 9 | -6 | 8 | ||
| 16 | 9 | -4 | 7 | ||
| 17 | 9 | -6 | 7 | ||
| 18 | 9 | -17 | 3 |
| Position | Team | Played | Won | Drawn | Lost | Goals For | Goals Against | Goal Difference | Points | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Toluca | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 19 | WLW |
| 2 | Guadalajara Chivas | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 18 | DWL |
| 3 | Club America | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 17 | WDW |
| 4 | Atlas | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 17 | LWW |
| 5 | Cruz Azul | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 15 | LWW |
| 6 | Club Queretaro | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 14 | WWL |
| 7 | Leon | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 14 | WLL |
| 8 | Club Tijuana | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 14 | DWW |
| 9 | Puebla | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 14 | DLW |
| 10 | Monterrey | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 13 | WLW |
| 11 | CF Pachuca | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 12 | LLW |
| 12 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 12 | WWL |
| 13 | Atlante FC | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 11 | WDL |
| 14 | Atletico San Luis | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 9 | DDL |
| 15 | Necaxa | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 8 | LWW |
| 16 | Tigres UANL | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 7 | LDL |
| 17 | Santos Laguna | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 15 | -6 | 7 | LLL |
| 18 | FC Juarez | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 6 | 23 | -17 | 3 | LLL |