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Philadelphia Union vs Orlando City SC Prediction - 26 September 2026

Major League SoccerUSAFull time
Philadelphia Union
4-2
Orlando City SC

Our pick:Over 2.5 goals

70%Odds 1.34Won

Correct score2-1Alternative4-1

Bookmaker odds

Home1.51price rising, opened at 1.44
Draw4.94price falling, opened at 5.05
Away5.30price falling, opened at 6.20
More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.01price falling, opened at 1.03
Under 1.58.80price rising, opened at 8.05
Over 2.51.25price falling, opened at 1.28
Under 2.53.60price rising, opened at 3.38
Over 3.51.70price falling, opened at 1.76
Under 3.52.15price rising, opened at 2.06
Both teams to score
Yes1.34price falling, opened at 1.40
No2.99price rising, opened at 2.73
Odd/Even
Odd1.85
Even1.85
Handicap
Home -1.251.94price rising, opened at 1.83
Away +1.251.86price falling, opened at 1.98

What is the prediction for Philadelphia Union vs Orlando City SC?

Our correct score is 2-1, then 4-1. Philadelphia Union are in better form heading into this match.

Methodology

Match highlights

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Match analysis

Orlando City visit Philadelphia Union on 26 September as the Union's nearest neighbours in the MLS table, and Superior's pick is Over 2.5 goals. It is priced at 1.34 with a model probability of 70 percent, built on a Philadelphia attack that has scored 19 goals in its last five.

Orlando and Philadelphia sit side by side in the table

Both clubs are in the top quarter of the league with plenty of the season left, and their recent games have been open. The model reads the goals side of this from each team's measured scoring and conceding: Philadelphia won 4-3 at Sporting Kansas City, 5-0 at San Diego and 5-0 against Cincinnati, and Orlando's last five produced 6, 3, 3, 5 and 1 goals. The last meeting, in May, ended 4-3 to Orlando.

The 2025 meeting in Philadelphia finished 0-0

Two goals or fewer loses this, and the meeting in Philadelphia in April 2025 was goalless. Orlando kept clean sheets against Toronto and San Diego this month and Philadelphia shut out Montreal and Cincinnati, so a 1-0 or 2-0 either way is the realistic route to losing it.

More tips for this game

  • Asian Handicap: Home +0Won1.19
  • Match Winner: HomeWon1.47
Compare bookmakers

Premium

After full time

Top five correct scores

  1. 2-19.5%Our score
  2. 1-17.7%
  3. 2-07.6%
  4. 3-17.5%
  5. 1-06.7%

Top five combined: 39.0%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomePhiladelphia UnionxG2.46
AwayOrlando City SCxG1.24
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
2.7%
6.7%
7.6%
6.1%
4.1%
1.8%
1.1%
1
3.1%
7.7%
9.5%
7.5%
4.6%
2.1%
1.3%
2
1.9%
4.5%
5.7%
4.7%
2.8%
1.3%
0.8%
3
0.9%
1.9%
2.2%
1.9%
1.2%
0.5%
0.3%
4
0.3%
0.7%
0.7%
0.6%
0.3%
0.1%
<0.1%
5
0.1%
0.2%
0.2%
0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
6+
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%

Goals and BTTS chances

Both teams to score Yes 63.6%36.4% No
Over 1.5 87.6%12.4% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 70.4%29.6% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 49.4%50.6% Under 3.5

Combos

Combos

Philadelphia Union win and over 2.5 goals49.9%
Philadelphia Union win and both teams score36.8%
Orlando City SC win and over 2.5 goals12.6%
Draw and under 2.5 goals10.3%
Outcome markets
Philadelphia Union or draw82.5%
Orlando City SC or draw35.8%
Either team wins81.7%
Draw no bet: Philadelphia Union78.6%
Draw no bet: Orlando City SC21.4%
Philadelphia Union win to nil27.4%
Orlando City SC win to nil6.3%
Team goals
Philadelphia Union to score91.0%
Orlando City SC to score69.9%
Philadelphia Union over 1.5 goals69.4%
Orlando City SC over 1.5 goals34.2%
Philadelphia Union clean sheet30.1%
Orlando City SC clean sheet9.0%

Premium

  • Match highlights
  • Top five correct scores
  • Goals and BTTS chances
  • Combos
  • Custom Acca Builder

Today's acca

1 games, total odds 1.35

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Formations

Expected formations

Philadelphia Union: 4-4-2(predicted)Orlando City SC: 4-4-2(predicted)
Prediction, preview and head to head: Philadelphia Union vs Orlando City SC
Head to Head

Head to Head

Philadelphia Union vs Orlando City SC: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
13 May 2026Orlando City SC4 - 3Philadelphia Union
5 April 2025Philadelphia Union0 - 0Orlando City SC
League Table

League Table

Major League SoccerUSA · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
12515465623+3349
12617635321+3257
226121046348+1546
22612864536+944
32612864942+744
32614484533+1246
42613583430+444
42712874737+1044
52612684638+842
52611784538+740
627116105242+1039
62711884329+1441
726113123635+136
72681085461-734
827104134662-1634
82789103442-833
92789104035+533
92695124748-132
10258893033-332
102696113448-1433
112561183139-829
112687114444031
122661193949-1029
122679103244-1230
132776143144-1327
132678113946-729
142685133744-729
142675143742-526
152553172963-3418
152757153153-2222
Major League Soccer - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Vancouver Whitecaps25154656233349DDLWL
1Nashville SC26176353213257DLWWW
2Inter Miami261210463481546DWWWW
2St. Louis City2612864536944DWWWW
3FC Dallas2612864942744DLDWW
3New England Revolution26144845331246DWDLW
4Houston Dynamo2613583430444WWDDW
4Charlotte27128747371044LWDWW
5San Jose Earthquakes2612684638842LDLWL
5Chicago Fire2611784538740WLLWW
6Philadelphia Union271161052421039WWWLD
6Los Angeles FC27118843291441DWWWW
7Colorado Rapids26113123635136WLWLL
7FC Cincinnati2681085461-734WLWWD
8Orlando City SC27104134662-1634LWWLD
8Los Angeles Galaxy2789103442-833DDLLD
9New York City FC2789104035533DWWLD
9Portland Timbers2695124748-132WWDWL
10Seattle Sounders258893033-332LLLLL
10New York Red Bulls2696113448-1433WLLWD
11DC United2561183139-829DWDDD
11San Diego2687114444031DWLLD
12Toronto FC2661193949-1029DLDDL
12Austin2679103244-1230LLWLL
13Atlanta United FC2776143144-1327LLDLL
13Minnesota United FC2678113946-729DDLDL
14Real Salt Lake2685133744-729DLLDW
14Columbus Crew2675143742-526DWLWD
15Sporting Kansas City2553172963-3418LLWLL
15CF Montreal2757153153-2222DLLDD