Plymouth vs Burton Albion Prediction - 26 September 2026
Our pick:Home +0.5
76%Odds 1.20Lost
Correct score1-0Alternative3-1
What is the prediction for Plymouth vs Burton Albion?
Our correct score is 1-0, then 3-1. Plymouth are in better form heading into this match.
Match highlights
PremiumMatch analysis
Superior's pick for Plymouth vs Burton Albion on 26 September is Plymouth on the +0.5 Asian handicap, which wins on a Plymouth win or a draw. It is priced at 1.20 and our model gives it 76 percent, because Plymouth arrive scoring 3.0 goals a game across their last five while Burton have won one of theirs.
Plymouth have scored 15 goals in five games
The model builds an expected scoring rate for each side from what it scores and concedes, then prices every plausible score. Plymouth's rate is fed by 5-1 against Crystal Palace's under-21s, 4-2 at Blackpool, 3-0 against Barnsley and 3-2 at Doncaster. Burton's scoring over the same stretch is well below that, and the only away game in their five was a 3-0 defeat at Oxford. Plymouth also won both meetings last season, 4-0 at Burton and 3-0 at home.
Plymouth have conceded in four of their last five
Only a Burton win beats this pick, so the danger sits in Plymouth's defence rather than their attack. They let in one against Palace's under-21s, two at Blackpool, two at Doncaster and two in a 2-0 defeat at Leicester on 1 September. Burton scored in four of their five, including 4-1 against AFC Wimbledon and two in each draw with Mansfield and Cambridge, so a 1-2 or 2-3 away win is the realistic route to losing it.
More tips for this game
- Asian Handicap: Home +0.25
- Asian Handicap: Home +0
- Match Winner: Home
Premium
After full time
Top five correct scores
- 1-011.0%Our score
- 2-110.5%
- 2-010.3%
- 1-110.2%
- 3-07.0%
Top five combined: 49.0%
Full score grid
Score Matrix
Goals and BTTS chances
Combos
Combos
Outcome markets
Team goals
Today's acca
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Formations
Expected formations
Head to Head
Head to Head
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 January 2026 | Plymouth | 3 - 0 | Burton Albion |
| 27 September 2025 | Burton Albion | 0 - 4 | Plymouth |
League Table
League Table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | +3 | 15 | ||
| 2 | 7 | +7 | 14 | ||
| 3 | 7 | +4 | 13 | ||
| 4 | 7 | +5 | 12 | ||
| 5 | 7 | +2 | 12 | ||
| 6 | 6 | +6 | 11 | ||
| 7 | 7 | -2 | 11 | ||
| 8 | 6 | +7 | 10 | ||
| 9 | 7 | +6 | 10 | ||
| 10 | 7 | +4 | 10 | ||
| 11 | 7 | +3 | 9 | ||
| 12 | 7 | 0 | 9 | ||
| 13 | 7 | -2 | 9 | ||
| 14 | 7 | -3 | 9 | ||
| 15 | 7 | 0 | 8 | ||
| 16 | 7 | -2 | 8 | ||
| 17 | 7 | -3 | 8 | ||
| 18 | 7 | -5 | 8 | ||
| 19 | 7 | -10 | 8 | ||
| 20 | 7 | -2 | 7 | ||
| 21 | 7 | -1 | 6 | ||
| 22 | 7 | -2 | 6 | ||
| 23 | 7 | -8 | 5 | ||
| 24 | 7 | -7 | 4 |
| Position | Team | Played | Won | Drawn | Lost | Goals For | Goals Against | Goal Difference | Points | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bradford | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 15 | |
| 2 | Sheffield Wednesday | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 14 | |
| 3 | Plymouth | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 13 | |
| 4 | Huddersfield | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 12 | |
| 5 | Cambridge United | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 12 | |
| 6 | Oxford United | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 11 | |
| 7 | AFC Wimbledon | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 11 | |
| 8 | Reading | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 10 | |
| 9 | Stockport County | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 10 | |
| 10 | Leyton Orient | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 10 | |
| 11 | Stevenage | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 9 | |
| 12 | Burton Albion | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 9 | |
| 13 | Leicester | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 9 | |
| 14 | Wycombe | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 9 | |
| 15 | Blackpool | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 8 | |
| 16 | Luton | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 8 | |
| 17 | Mansfield Town | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 8 | |
| 18 | Barnsley | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 8 | |
| 19 | Bromley | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 18 | -10 | 8 | |
| 20 | Notts County | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 7 | |
| 21 | Doncaster | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 6 | |
| 22 | Milton Keynes Dons | 7 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 6 | |
| 23 | Peterborough | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 5 | |
| 24 | Wigan | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 4 |