Port Vale vs Northampton Prediction - 26 September 2026
Our pick:Under 3.5 goals
75%Odds 1.24
Correct score1-1Alternative1-0
What is the prediction for Port Vale vs Northampton?
Our correct score is 1-1, then 1-0. Northampton are in better form heading into this match.
Match analysis
Port Vale's one win in their last five was a 1-0 over Exeter, and Superior expects a similar low-scoring game against Northampton on 26 September. The pick is Under 3.5 goals at 1.24, which our model rates at 75 percent, because only one of the two sides' last ten matches had more than three goals.
Port Vale have scored twice in five games
The model sets an expected scoring rate for each team from its measured scoring and conceding, and both rates here are low. Vale lost 2-0 at Walsall and 1-0 at Salford, drew 0-0 with Crewe and beat Exeter 1-0. Northampton have three goals in five, from a 1-0 win over Newport and 1-1 draws with Crawley and Gillingham. Vale also won 1-0 at Northampton in February, and the meeting before that ended 0-0.
Swindon beat Vale 3-1 on 1 September
This pick needs four goals to lose, and the one game in the two sides' last ten that would have beaten it was Port Vale's 3-1 defeat at Swindon. Vale have conceded six in their last five, so the risk is Northampton scoring the way Swindon and Walsall did. A 2-2, a 3-1 or a 1-3 would all go over the line.
More tips for this game
- Goals: Under 2.5
- Correct score: 1-1
- Correct score: 1-0
Today's acca
1 games, total odds 1.35Get the daily pick and the morning ticket on Telegram.
Join on Telegram
Formations
Expected formations
Head to Head
Head to Head
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 February 2026 | Northampton | 0 - 1 | Port Vale |
| 4 October 2025 | Port Vale | 0 - 0 | Northampton |
League Table
League Table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | +7 | 15 | ||
| 2 | 7 | +6 | 13 | ||
| 3 | 7 | +5 | 13 | ||
| 4 | 7 | +5 | 12 | ||
| 5 | 7 | +3 | 12 | ||
| 6 | 7 | +1 | 12 | ||
| 7 | 7 | +3 | 11 | ||
| 8 | 7 | +2 | 11 | ||
| 9 | 7 | +2 | 11 | ||
| 10 | 7 | +2 | 10 | ||
| 11 | 7 | +1 | 10 | ||
| 12 | 7 | -1 | 10 | ||
| 13 | 7 | -3 | 10 | ||
| 14 | 7 | 0 | 9 | ||
| 15 | 7 | -2 | 9 | ||
| 16 | 7 | -1 | 7 | ||
| 17 | 7 | -3 | 7 | ||
| 18 | 7 | -6 | 7 | ||
| 19 | 7 | -1 | 6 | ||
| 20 | 7 | -1 | 6 | ||
| 21 | 7 | -3 | 6 | ||
| 22 | 7 | -3 | 6 | ||
| 23 | 7 | -6 | 5 | ||
| 24 | 7 | -7 | 4 |
| Position | Team | Played | Won | Drawn | Lost | Goals For | Goals Against | Goal Difference | Points | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barnet | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 15 | |
| 2 | Walsall | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 13 | |
| 3 | Grimsby | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 13 | |
| 4 | Gillingham | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 12 | |
| 5 | Cheltenham | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 12 | |
| 6 | Bristol Rovers | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 12 | |
| 7 | York | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 10 | 3 | 11 | |
| 8 | Chesterfield | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 11 | |
| 9 | Crewe | 7 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 11 | |
| 10 | Tranmere Rovers | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 10 | |
| 11 | Fleetwood Town | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 10 | |
| 12 | Salford City | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 10 | |
| 13 | Swindon Town | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 10 | |
| 14 | Rotherham | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 9 | |
| 15 | Colchester | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 9 | |
| 16 | Oldham | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 7 | |
| 17 | Rochdale | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 7 | |
| 18 | Shrewsbury | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 7 | |
| 19 | Newport County | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 6 | |
| 20 | Exeter City | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 6 | |
| 21 | Accrington ST | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 6 | |
| 22 | Northampton | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 6 | |
| 23 | Port Vale | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 5 | |
| 24 | Crawley Town | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 4 |
