Necaxa vs Club America Prediction - 28 September 2026
Our pick:Under 3.5 goals
66%Odds 1.48
Picked at 1.48 · now 1.44
Correct score1-2Alternative1-1
What is the prediction for Necaxa vs Club America?
Our correct score is 1-2, then 1-1. Club America are in better form heading into this match.
Match analysis
Necaxa have scored four goals in their last five and Club America nine, a combined rate of 2.6 a game that leaves room under the 3.5 line. Superior's model makes Under 3.5 goals a 66 percent chance in Necaxa vs Club America on 27 September, and 1.48 is the price.
Necaxa have not scored more than once in five games
Superior builds each team's expected goals from measured scoring and conceding, then checks short samples against the league baseline so one wild result cannot dominate. Necaxa's attack anchors the total: they were beaten 1-0 at home by Puebla and drew 1-1 at Tigres and at Pumas. Superior's correct score is 1-2, three goals, which still lands the Under, and Club America were also held to nothing in a 1-0 defeat at Leon.
Club America's last five include a 4-3 and two 2-2 draws
Club America's games have been the loose ones: they lost 4-3 at Cruz Azul on 13 September and drew 2-2 with both Monterrey and Chivas, and Necaxa conceded three at home to Cruz Azul and three at Atletico San Luis. Four goals beats the Under, so a repeat of either 2-2 or a 3-1 America win is how this is lost.
Today's acca
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Formations
Expected formations
Head to Head
Head to Head
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 January 2026 | Club America | 2 - 0 | Necaxa |
| 27 July 2025 | Necaxa | 1 - 1 | Club America |
League Table
League Table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | +11 | 19 | ||
| 2 | 9 | +9 | 18 | ||
| 3 | 8 | +9 | 17 | ||
| 4 | 10 | -1 | 17 | ||
| 5 | 9 | +1 | 15 | ||
| 6 | 8 | +3 | 14 | ||
| 7 | 9 | +2 | 14 | ||
| 8 | 9 | +1 | 14 | ||
| 9 | 9 | 0 | 14 | ||
| 10 | 9 | +2 | 13 | ||
| 11 | 9 | +5 | 12 | ||
| 12 | 9 | -1 | 12 | ||
| 13 | 10 | -3 | 11 | ||
| 14 | 9 | -5 | 9 | ||
| 15 | 9 | -6 | 8 | ||
| 16 | 9 | -4 | 7 | ||
| 17 | 9 | -6 | 7 | ||
| 18 | 9 | -17 | 3 |
| Position | Team | Played | Won | Drawn | Lost | Goals For | Goals Against | Goal Difference | Points | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Toluca | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 19 | WLW |
| 2 | Guadalajara Chivas | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 18 | DWL |
| 3 | Club America | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 17 | WDW |
| 4 | Atlas | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 17 | LWW |
| 5 | Cruz Azul | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 15 | LWW |
| 6 | Club Queretaro | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 14 | WWL |
| 7 | Leon | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 14 | WLL |
| 8 | Club Tijuana | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 14 | DWW |
| 9 | Puebla | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 14 | DLW |
| 10 | Monterrey | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 13 | WLW |
| 11 | CF Pachuca | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 12 | LLW |
| 12 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 12 | WWL |
| 13 | Atlante FC | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 11 | WDL |
| 14 | Atletico San Luis | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 9 | DDL |
| 15 | Necaxa | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 8 | LWW |
| 16 | Tigres UANL | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 7 | LDL |
| 17 | Santos Laguna | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 15 | -6 | 7 | LLL |
| 18 | FC Juarez | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 6 | 23 | -17 | 3 | LLL |