Moldova vs Faroe Islands Prediction

Our pick:Over 1.5 goals

63%Odds 1.56

Correct score1-1Alternative0-3

Bookmaker odds

Home2.42

Draw3.11

Away3.15

All oddsPremium

What is the prediction for Moldova vs Faroe Islands?

Our correct score is 1-1, then 0-3. Faroe Islands are in better form heading into this match.

Methodology

Match analysis

Moldova arrive on shorter rest than the Faroe Islands, and all five of their recent games reached two goals, so Superior takes Over 1.5 goals in Moldova vs Faroe Islands on 29 September. The price is 1.56, and the model rates it 63 percent.

Moldova have conceded in each of their last five games

Superior works from an expected scoring rate for each side, and Moldova's defence leaks at a steady rate: 1-1 in Armenia, 2-2 with Bulgaria, a 3-2 defeat in Cyprus, a 2-0 home loss to Lithuania and 1-1 in Estonia. Every one of those cleared the line. The Faroe Islands average 2.0 goals a game on a five-match winning run with an attack rating of 6.4, which gives the visitors a real share of the goals the model expects. The correct score is 1-1, with a 0-3 Faroe Islands win the alternative.

The Faroe Islands won 1-0 twice in their last five

Over 1.5 loses on 0-0 or a single goal either way, and the Faroe Islands know that scoreline well: 1-0 at home to Kazakhstan in November and 1-0 in Gibraltar in September 2025. A visiting side that can close a game at one goal is the main threat here, and a 0-1 would beat the pick despite Moldova's leaky record.

Written by the Superior Football Desk