Las Vegas Lights vs New Mexico United Prediction - 6 September 2026
Our pick:Under 3.5 goals
77%Odds 1.38Won
Correct score1-1Alternative1-0
What is the prediction for Las Vegas Lights vs New Mexico United?
Our correct score is 1-1, then 1-0. New Mexico United are in better form heading into this match.
Match highlights
PremiumMatch analysis
New Mexico United arrive unbeaten in four without needing a flood of goals to stay that way, and that controlled record against a Las Vegas Lights side short on firepower is why Superior backs Under 3.5 goals at 1.38 for their USL Championship meeting on 6 September, a 77 percent probability.
New Mexico's unbeaten run has still been low scoring
New Mexico have won three and drawn one of their last five without needing a flood of goals to do it, their heaviest win a 5-2 away from home two matches back. Las Vegas have scored in three of their last five but rarely more than once in a game, and their most recent result was a scoreless draw. That combination, a controlled unbeaten side against a team short on firepower, points toward a game that stays under control rather than opens up.
New Mexico's 5-2 is the scoreline that beats this
LOSES IF: four or more goals combined. New Mexico's 5-2 win two matches ago is proof their attack can put a game out of reach quickly, and Las Vegas have shipped multiple goals at home this run too. If that version of New Mexico turns up rather than the tighter one from their last two results, the total climbs past this line fast.
More tips for this game
- Goals: Under 2.5
Premium
After full time
Top five correct scores
- 1-113.0%Our score
- 1-010.9%Alternative
- 0-110.4%
- 0-08.7%
- 2-18.1%
Top five combined: 51.1%
Full score grid
Score Matrix
Goals and BTTS chances
Combos
Combos
Outcome markets
Team goals
Today's acca
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Head to Head
Head to Head
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May 2026 | New Mexico United | 3 - 1 | Las Vegas Lights |
| 17 August 2025 | New Mexico United | 2 - 2 | Las Vegas Lights |
League Table
League Table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 26 | +13 | 47 | ||
| 1 | 18 | +14 | 38 | ||
| 2 | 18 | +13 | 30 | ||
| 2 | 24 | +10 | 43 | ||
| 3 | 25 | +3 | 38 | ||
| 3 | 17 | +8 | 28 | ||
| 4 | 18 | +1 | 27 | ||
| 4 | 25 | +6 | 38 | ||
| 5 | 18 | 0 | 26 | ||
| 5 | 25 | +1 | 37 | ||
| 6 | 24 | +10 | 37 | ||
| 6 | 19 | -7 | 22 | ||
| 7 | 25 | +13 | 37 | ||
| 7 | 16 | +6 | 22 | ||
| 8 | 16 | -1 | 21 | ||
| 8 | 25 | -6 | 36 | ||
| 9 | 17 | -4 | 20 | ||
| 9 | 25 | -3 | 33 | ||
| 10 | 17 | -8 | 18 | ||
| 10 | 25 | 0 | 33 | ||
| 11 | 17 | -3 | 17 | ||
| 11 | 25 | -5 | 30 | ||
| 12 | 25 | -18 | 18 | ||
| 12 | 17 | -15 | 13 | ||
| 13 | 19 | -28 | 8 |
| Position | Team | Played | Won | Drawn | Lost | Goals For | Goals Against | Goal Difference | Points | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | El Paso Locomotive | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 45 | 32 | 13 | 47 | LWLWL |
| 1 | Tampa Bay Rowdies | 18 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 33 | 19 | 14 | 38 | WWDLW |
| 2 | Charleston Battery | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 37 | 24 | 13 | 30 | WLDLW |
| 2 | New Mexico United | 24 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 37 | 27 | 10 | 43 | WWWWD |
| 3 | Colorado Springs | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 40 | 37 | 3 | 38 | LWWWL |
| 3 | Detroit City | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 28 | DLWWW |
| 4 | Louisville City | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 32 | 31 | 1 | 27 | LWLWD |
| 4 | FC Tulsa | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 30 | 24 | 6 | 38 | WDWLW |
| 5 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 18 | 8 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 26 | WLLWL |
| 5 | San Antonio | 25 | 9 | 10 | 6 | 29 | 28 | 1 | 37 | WWLDW |
| 6 | Sacramento Republic | 24 | 9 | 10 | 5 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 37 | WWDWL |
| 6 | Miami FC | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 24 | 31 | -7 | 22 | DLLWD |
| 7 | Lexington | 25 | 11 | 4 | 10 | 43 | 30 | 13 | 37 | WDWLW |
| 7 | Rhode Island | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 22 | LWWLD |
| 8 | Indy Eleven | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 21 | LLLLW |
| 8 | Orange County SC | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 34 | 40 | -6 | 36 | WWDDW |
| 9 | Hartford Athletic | 17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 20 | LDLDL |
| 9 | Las Vegas Lights | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 32 | 35 | -3 | 33 | DWWLL |
| 10 | Loudoun United | 17 | 3 | 9 | 5 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 18 | WWDDL |
| 10 | Phoenix Rising | 25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 35 | 35 | 0 | 33 | DDWLL |
| 11 | Birmingham Legion | 17 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 17 | WLDLD |
| 11 | Oakland Roots | 25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 30 | 35 | -5 | 30 | LLLLW |
| 12 | Monterey Bay | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 25 | 43 | -18 | 18 | LLLDW |
| 12 | Brooklyn | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 13 | LLDWL |
| 13 | Sporting JAX | 19 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 23 | 51 | -28 | 8 | LLDWD |
